|Signal Word||Size (D scale)||Simple Descriptor|
|Small||1||Unlikely to bury a person|
|Large||2||Can bury a person|
|Very Large||3||Can destroy a house|
|Historic||4 & 5||Can destroy part or all of a village|
The weather forecast for today calls for clear sunny skies, calm to light west winds, and temperatures peaking near the freezing level at 3000′.
As the sun and increasing temperatures affect the region today, surface conditions could become less stable and also impact our sporadic persistent slab concerns found within the top 1′-2′ of the snowpack. An observer shared images illustrating the wet/moist loose avalanche concern from yesterday afternoon. Steep slopes on easterly, southerly, and westerly solar aspects where slopes heat up enough are the most likely spots for a person to initiate these avalanches. If triggered, this avalanche concern is expected to be on the smaller side of the scale, but could become entrained and move a rider or skier down the fall line. Remain aware of your surroundings and anticipate your exit strategy as the terrain dictates.
The snowpack in more remote areas could be quite different. Pay attention to signs of recent avalanches, cracking/whumpfing, wind effect, and sun effect. Also, keep in mind areas with a shallow snowpack are more likely places to find a slab that fails in the weak layer described above or other old weak snow buried in the pack. This includes the south end of Turnagain Pass, such as Twin Peaks and Silvertip to Summit Lake and over toward Palmer Creek and the Raggedtop area near Girdwood.
A skier initiated wet loose avalanche on a southerly aspect of Magnum. 3.14.2020 Photo: Allen Dahl
Loose snow: Loose dry snow still exists in many areas, especially on northerly aspects. On steep slopes where this is the case, sluff could be easy for a human to initiate and could move down slope with enough volume to take a person off their feet.
Cornices: We have some large cornice formation in many areas. As the sun and increased temperatures beat down, it could become easier to trigger these. As usual, it’s prudent to give cornices a wide berth and limit your time beneath them.
Yesterday: Sunny skies with light ridgetop winds from the west. Temperatures warmed to the mid 20’s°F along ridgetops and 30°F at the lower elevations.
Today: More clear skies and sun! West winds are expected to be calm to light with temperatures just above freezing at sea level and 24°F-30°F at 3000′.
Tomorrow: More sun during the day with a high near 34°F at sea level. West winds are expected around 5 mph. In the evening, winds are expected to shift becoming southwest as clouds increase to set up Tuesday for possible precipitation.
PRECIPITATION 24-hour data (6am – 6am)
|Temp Avg (F)||Snow (in)||Water (in)||Snow Depth (in)|
|Center Ridge (1880′)||22||0||0||67|
|Summit Lake (1400′)||19||0||0||30|
|Alyeska Mid (1700′)||23||0||0||77|
RIDGETOP 24-hour data (6am – 6am)
|Temp Avg (F)||Wind Dir||Wind Avg (mph)||Wind Gust (mph)|
|Seattle Ridge (2400′)||25||VAR||1||5|
|01/16/21||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan Trees||A Schauer Forecaster|
|01/15/21||Turnagain||Observation: Sunburst||Schauer/ Wunnicke Forecaster|
|01/13/21||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan||Johnston-Bloom / Moderow Forecaster|
|01/13/21||Turnagain||Observation: Center Ridge Meadows||Alaska Avalanche School Rec Level 1 Roberts|
|01/12/21||Turnagain||Avalanche: Seattle Ridge/Center Ridge||A Schauer Forecaster|
|01/11/21||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan Trees||Schauer/ Roberts Forecaster|
|01/10/21||Turnagain||Observation: Center Ridge Meadows||Alaska Avalanche School Pro 1 Course Latosuo|
|01/10/21||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan trees||Anonymous|
|01/09/21||Turnagain||Observation: Johnson Pass||Anonymous|
|01/08/21||Turnagain||Observation: Sunburst meadow between Hemlocks||Anonymous|
Status of riding areas across the Chugach NF is managed by the Glacier and Seward Ranger Districts, not avalanche center staff. Riding area information is posted as a public service to our users and updated based on snow depth and snow density to prevent resource damage at trailhead locations. Riding area questions contact: email@example.com
|Area||Status||Weather & Riding Conditions|
This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area. This advisory does not apply to highways, railroads or operating ski areas.