The solstice sleeper storm of 2018, which dropped an impressive 4-5′ (yes feet) of very low-density snow from December 19 to 20, has settled an impressive 20″ in the past two days. Light snowfall overnight as added another 3-4″ to the pack and another 2-4″ is expected today – and winter begins! In the Turnagain Pass area all signs are pointing to good bonding between the new and old snow. Reports yesterday spoke of “No obvious signs of current instability“. Although there were several natural avalanches during the storm (photos below), no avalanche activity has occurred, that we know of, in the past two days. The catch is, winds picked up yesterday, continued overnight and are forecast to remain – this will be the main concern for today.
WIND SLABS: Sustained easterly winds along ridgelines and peaks are likely having their way with all the new loose snow. Add to this warming temperatures to help stick the snow together, and we are set up for a classic wind slab problem. Keep your eyes peeled for areas winds have deposited snow, pillowed surfaces and stiffer wind packed snow. Shooting cracks are likely in this case and triggering a wind slab from below, while ascending, is also likely. These issues should be easily seen if we are looking for them.
LOOSE SNOW AVALANCHES: Triggering a loose snow avalanche could be large and unmanageable in steep terrain with so much new snow. Below 1,000′ we could see damp or wet sluffs as temperatures reach above freezing.
SNOW IMMERSION SUFFOCATION: Getting caught in a tree well, stuck head down in a depression and other means of snow immersion are all possible with so much snow. Watch your partners and be aware of this hazard that claims lives in the US each year.
Natural ‘storm slab’ avalanche occurring near the end of the storm on Tincan at treeline. Photo: Aleph Johnston-Bloom.
Another shot of natural ‘storm slab’ avalanches occurring near the end of the storm on Tincan’s CFR ridge near treeline. Photo: Aleph Johnston-Bloom.
Areas south of Turnagain Pass, such as Johnson Pass, Lynx drainage, Twin Peaks/Silver Tip, the Summit Lake zone and possibly Lost Lake are all very suspect for harboring buried weak layers under the storm snow. Triggering a large and dangerous avalanche cannot be ruled out and is considered possible in these zones. Weak layers consist of a facet/crust combination between 2,000-3,000′. The addition of 4′ of new snow clearly overloaded these and several natural avalanches were seen Thursday on the far northern end of Summit Pass. Look out for whumpfing, cracking, and recent avalanches if you head to these areas.
Natural avalanche that may have released in buried weak layers. This is across the street from Twin Peaks at 62 mile. South facing terrain.
Heads up – Lost Lake zone harbors buried weak layers – be aware of triggering a slab 2-3′ thick. This picture was taken Thursday and the timing of this avalanche is unknown and may be a natural avalanche from a different day. Photo and observation courtesy of Iron (iii) Oxide.
Glide cracks are opening as we speak all over the mountains. Notable locations are Tincan’s SW face, Sunburst’s SW face under the weather station, Gold Pan area (behind Cornbiscuit/Magnum) and Johnson Pass. These cracks can release at any moment. They are not associated with human triggers and the best way to manage the hazard is to avoid being on or beneath slopes with cracks.
Crazy cracks… Yesterday cracks were found opening in the 4′ of new settling snow. These are not glide cracks, but similar. There is not an avalanche hazard associated with them, but they could trip you up.
Yesterday: Partly cloudy skies were over the region yesterday before clouds moved back in along with snowfall overnight. Roughly 3″ of snow has fallen overnight at Turnagain Pass and 4-5″ in the Girdwood Valley. Ridgetop winds have been sustained in the 20-30mph range with gusts in the 40’s from the east. Temperatures have been on a slow rise and sit in the 20’sF along ridgelines and at 32F at 1,000′.
Today: Cloudy skies and snow showers will continue in the mountains. An additional 2-4″ of snow is expected to fall above 500′ with a rain/snow mix below and possibly light rain at sea level. Ridgetop easterly winds should remain in the 20-30mph range with gusts up to 50mph. Temperatures are expected to stop climbing and sit in the mid 20’s along ridgelines and 32F at 1,000′ (sea level temps will be in the mid to upper 30’sF).
Tomorrow: A break in stormy weather is expected along with clearing skies for both Sunday and Monday. Temperatures look to cool down slightly Sunday along with a decrease in winds.
*Seattle Ridge weather station is rimed over and not recording any data.
|Temp Avg (F)||Snow (in)||Water (in)||Snow Depth (in)|
|Center Ridge (1880′)||28||3||0.2||67|
|Summit Lake (1400′)||26||trace||0.1||16|
|Alyeska Mid (1700′)||29||4||0.3||38|
|Temp Avg (F)||Wind Dir||Wind Avg (mph)||Wind Gust (mph)|
|Seattle Ridge (2400′)||*N/A||*N/A||*N/A||*N/A|
|12/04/19||Turnagain||Observation: Sunburst||A.Johnston-Bloom W.Wagner/ R.Van Luit Forecaster|
|12/03/19||Turnagain||Observation: HIppy Bowl||Nick Langowski|
|12/01/19||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan, All elevations||Eric Roberts|
|12/01/19||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan||Andy Moderow|
|11/30/19||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan Treeline Plateau/ Common Bowl/ Ridge||Eric Roberts|
|11/29/19||Turnagain||Observation: Sunburst Ob #2||Aleph Johnston-Bloom Forecaster|
|11/29/19||Turnagain||Observation: Sunburst Ob #1||Aleph Johnston-Bloom Forecaster|
|11/27/19||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan||Aleph Johnston-Bloom Forecaster|
|11/25/19||Turnagain||Observation: Sunnyside||Graham Predeger Forecaster|
|11/18/19||Turnagain||Observation: Turnagain Pass – Road obs||Aleph Johnston-Bloom Forecaster|
Status of riding areas across the Chugach NF is managed by the Glacier and Seward Ranger Districts, not avalanche center staff. Riding area information is posted as a public service to our users and updated based on snow depth and snow density to prevent resource damage at trailhead locations. Riding area questions contact: email@example.com
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