Timing is everything…
It’s that time of year where clear skies freeze up the snow surface at night, just for the sun to warm them up and turn hard crusts into slop later in the day. Hence, a LOW danger in the morning transitions to a MODERATE or CONSIDERABLE danger in the late afternoon – and even into the evening hours. A big thanks to Dan Koepke for sharing his story from Sunburst yesterday, where he talks about this exact experience; watching the snowpack warm up during the day and around 4:30pm a slab avalanche is triggered on a Southerly facing slope that runs to the valley floor. This slab was ~150′ wide and broke 12-18″ deep, it stepped down to the ground in places (we are very glad Dan was able to ski out of this avalanche). You can see his full report HERE.
Video of the Sunburst avalanche, wet snow debris in motion (lack of powder cloud). Note the older debris from last week on the left that becomes partially covered. (Koepke)
Photo of Sunburst avalanche crown, ~16″ average in depth at the top before stepping down ~50′ below the crown to near the ground in places. (Koepke)
WET AVALANCHES (Southerly facing slopes) – late in the day:
The Sunburst slide above is a good example of what kind of terrain (Steep Southerly) to avoid late in the day. Our snowpack consists of several weak layers of facets and buried surface hoar. Because of this, wet slabs are possible and having them step down to deeper weak layers is also possible. Wet loose snow avalanches have also been occurring, these have been relegated to steep slopes with a shallow snowpack so far. If heading out for a fun day in the sun keep in mind these things:
SPRINGTIME SHED CYCLE?
This is when the whole snowpack becomes wet and begins to litterally ooze and slide off the mountains. So far there is still cold snow at the upper elevations; some thinner and lower elevations are ‘shedding’ however, such as the Southeast face of Seattle Ridge. We will be watching the snowpack and and air temperatures and talking about this in the future.
The Southeast face of Seattle Ridge – this zone is typically the first area in Turnagain Pass to begin shedding its snowpack.
On the shaded and cool side of the mountains (Northerly aspects) dry snow still exists. While wet snow issues are not a problem here, deep slab issues are. There are several weak layers anywhere from 2-5′ below the surface. The most noteable is the March 27 buried surface hoar; this layer was buried by 3-6′ of snow during the 10-day April Fools storm. We have not seen or heard of any avalanche activity on this layer for 6 days now, but with warm temperatures and a ‘persistent weak layer’ present, this remains a concern. Shaded aspects (NE – NW – W) in the mid and upper elevations that haven’t avalanched already are the most suspect places for triggering a deep slab.
This problem is one of low probability but high consequence as these are large and potentially unsurvivable slides. As the snowpack continues to adjust, triggering will become more stubborn and less likely with time. Keep these point in mind:
Two new small glide avalanches released on Southeast facing Seattle Ridge yesterday. On Wednesday, a larger glide released on the South aspect of Eddies ridge. We expect this trend to continue with the warm days ahead. Keep an eye out for glide cracks, full depth cracks in the snow, and limit time underneath them. Most cracks appear to be small and in areas less traveled, but a glide avalanche can also release with little warning when a crack is not visible prior.
Bluebird skies with a very light ridgetop breeze from the West was over the area yesterday. Temperatures were again warm, up to 50F at 2000′ and below and up to 40F along some ridgelines. Overnight, temperatures have cooled to the mid 20’s at sea level and the upper 20’s at the higher elevations. Ridgetop winds turned easterly and have picked up to the 5-10mph range since midnight.
Today, another clear sky day is on tap. The Easterly ridgetop winds should remain light, 0-10mph. Temperatures again will climb to 50F around 2,000′ and below while the breeze could keep upper elevations in the 30’s F.
The high pressure over the region looks to remain in place through the weekend. We could see a bit of cloud cover on Sunday, but warm springtime conditions will remain.
|Temp Avg (F)||Snow (in)||Water (in)||Snow Depth (in)|
|Center Ridge (1880′)||40||0||0||69|
|Summit Lake (1400′)||35||0||0||23|
|Alyeska Mid (1700′)||40||0||0||62|
|Temp Avg (F)||Wind Dir||Wind Avg (mph)||Wind Gust (mph)|
|Seattle Ridge (2400′)||No Data||S||4||10|
|01/23/21||Turnagain||Observation: Seattle Ridge||A Schauer Forecaster|
|01/23/21||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan Trees||Matti Silta|
|01/22/21||Turnagain||Observation: JOHNSON PASS||Anonymous|
|01/20/21||Turnagain||Observation: Sunburst||Johnston-Bloom / Roberts Forecaster|
|01/19/21||Turnagain||Avalanche: Cornbiscuit||Schauer/ Johnston-Bloom Forecaster|
|01/19/21||Turnagain||Avalanche: Sunburst and Tincan||CNFAIC Staff|
|01/19/21||Turnagain||Avalanche: Seattle Ridge||CNFAIC Staff|
|01/19/21||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan 2900′ SW aspect below Hippy Bowl.||Kris Marshall|
|01/18/21||Turnagain||Observation: Turnagain Pass Road Obs.||A Schauer Forecaster|
|01/16/21||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan Trees||A Schauer Forecaster|
Status of riding areas across the Chugach NF is managed by the Glacier and Seward Ranger Districts, not avalanche center staff. Riding area information is posted as a public service to our users and updated based on snow depth and snow density to prevent resource damage at trailhead locations. Riding area questions contact: firstname.lastname@example.org
|Area||Status||Weather & Riding Conditions|
This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area. This advisory does not apply to highways, railroads or operating ski areas.