After 25 days of no snow in the core advisory area the spell has finally been broken and light snow started falling last night. We received 1-2″ overnight and 4-9″ is forecasted to fall today. This combined with ENE winds gusting up into the 30s may create storm slab conditions on steep slopes as it accumulates on very weak surface snow. The likelihood of triggering a loose snow avalanche (sluff) will also increase with the new snow. An observer in the upper Skookum Valley (which received 5-9″ on Thursday morning in a sneaky storm) reported natural sluffs as this current system moved in. This zone with more new snow warrants extra caution as slabs/sluffs will be larger. Today’s storm will again favor this area.
Today it will be important to pay attention to how the new snow is bonding to old snow surfaces. The snow is landing on near surface facets, surface hoar, sun crusts, and wind crusts. Watch for changing conditions, cracking, collapsing and blowing snow.
Keep in mind these additional concerns if venturing out into the mountains today and remember to practice safe travel techniques.
Wind Slabs: Small fresh wind slabs are also possible near ridgetops on leeward terrain. Old stiff wind slabs, such as the one triggered on Seattle ridge last weekend, will be stubborn to trigger. Smooth pillowed snow on steep unsupported features or in rocky areas will be the most suspect places to initiate an old wind slab.
Glide Avalanches: Glide cracks continue to slowly open above popular terrain on Seattle Ridge and in other zones across the advisory area. These may release at any time. Minimize exposure time spent under visible cracks.
Cornices: Cornices should always be given an extra wide berth if traveling along a corniced ridge. Like glide cracks, minimize your exposure time spent under these backcountry bombs.
Persistent Slabs and Deep Slabs: There are various weak layers in our thin snowpack. Buried surface hoar sits 1-3+’ below the surface and faceted snow sits in the mid and base of the pack. Due to the lack of changing weather over the past three weeks, these weak layers (with varying degrees of strength) are in a ‘dormant stage’. Although unlikely, an avalanche breaking deeper in the pack isn’t completely out of the question in areas such as Johnson Pass, Lynx Creek and on the Northern side of Girdwood Valley (near Crow Pass). Observers continue to find poor structure. The buried weak layers will require monitoring as the load on top increases incrementally or if we get a significant warm-up.
An example of surface conditions in the Girdwood Valley. Near surface facets on sun crust.
Yesterday started out clear and sunny. Clouds rolled in throughout the day becoming mostly cloudy by the evening. Temperatures rose into the teens at ridgetops and low 20Fs in the valleys. Light snow stared falling in the evening. 1-2″ fell overnight. ENE winds increased gusting into the 30s.
Today will be mostly cloudy with temperatures in the 20Fs. ENE winds will continue blowing 10-20 mph with gusting again into the 30s. 4-9″ of snow is forecasted to fall throughout the day with a chance of snow overnight. Tomorrow will be partly sunny with warmer temperatures. There is another chance of snow showers on Tuesday.
|Temp Avg (F)||Snow (in)||Water (in)||Snow Depth (in)|
|Center Ridge (1880′)||15||.1||1||60|
|Summit Lake (1400′)||15||.05||2||57|
|Alyeska Mid (1700′)||13||.1||1||29|
|Temp Avg (F)||Wind Dir||Wind Avg (mph)||Wind Gust (mph)|
|Seattle Ridge (2400′)||13||ENE||5||16|
|01/23/21||Turnagain||Observation: Seattle Ridge||A Schauer Forecaster|
|01/23/21||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan Trees||Matti Silta|
|01/22/21||Turnagain||Observation: JOHNSON PASS||Anonymous|
|01/20/21||Turnagain||Observation: Sunburst||Johnston-Bloom / Roberts Forecaster|
|01/19/21||Turnagain||Avalanche: Cornbiscuit||Schauer/ Johnston-Bloom Forecaster|
|01/19/21||Turnagain||Avalanche: Sunburst and Tincan||CNFAIC Staff|
|01/19/21||Turnagain||Avalanche: Seattle Ridge||CNFAIC Staff|
|01/19/21||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan 2900′ SW aspect below Hippy Bowl.||Kris Marshall|
|01/18/21||Turnagain||Observation: Turnagain Pass Road Obs.||A Schauer Forecaster|
|01/16/21||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan Trees||A Schauer Forecaster|
Status of riding areas across the Chugach NF is managed by the Glacier and Seward Ranger Districts, not avalanche center staff. Riding area information is posted as a public service to our users and updated based on snow depth and snow density to prevent resource damage at trailhead locations. Riding area questions contact: firstname.lastname@example.org
|Area||Status||Weather & Riding Conditions|
This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area. This advisory does not apply to highways, railroads or operating ski areas.