Turnagain Pass Avalanche Forecast
A CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger exists today in the alpine where fresh wind slabs will be of concern after a potent storm delivered 3-4+ feet of new snow in the alpine between Saturday and Sunday. Cautious route finding and conservative decision-making will be essential today if venturing into the alpine. Today will warrant hyper-vigilance if moving around cornices. These are under tremendous stress right now in the wake of our most recent storm and will be even more so with a bump in easterly winds today.
At treeline the danger is MODERATE where glide cracks are lurking under this most recent dump of snow. Though many are not currently visible, make no mistake; these cracks litter the Turnagain pass zone between 1500 €“ 2500 feet.
Mark your calendars for the second annual SNOWBALL this Friday (Feb.26th) at Taproot. This fun-filled, mid-winter fundraiser is a joint effort between the Alaska Avalanche School and the Friends-CNFAIC. All proceeds directly support avalanche information and education in Alaska! Iron those Carhartts, break out the sequins, and dust off the top hat €¦its Snowball time! Tickets on sale at https://taprootalaska.com/
A quick tour to treeline on Tincan yesterday found significant avalanche carnage from the much publicized weekend storm. Unfortunate for surface conditions, we found a breakable crust entombing 2 feet of settled storm snow up to 2,000 feet. This crust appeared on the tail end of the storm as temperatures dropped Sunday night, and is acting to promote more stable snow in the mid-elevations (at treeline). In the alpine however, soft, surface snow is abundant and will be ripe for transport today with winds forecasted in the 20 to 45 mph range. Fresh wind slabs are likely to form on south and west aspects and may be 1-3 feet deep. If travelling in the alpine, pay attention to changing surface conditions and drum-like or hollow sounding snow as this is indicative that you’ve found a wind slab.
With limited visibility yesterday and no observations from the alpine since before the quick-hitting weekend storm, confidence is low that the storm snow is settling without incident. Careful snowpack evaluation will be essential today if moving through the upper elevations to ensure you are managing terrain appropriately.
Storm slab/ wind slab just lookers left of Tincan proper looks to have avalanched at the tail end of the weekend storm.
Again, visibility hampered a good look into alpine start zones yesterday but given the state of cornices (large and mature) before this storm, you can bet that 4+ inches of water weight from the weekend and winds averaging in the 30’s mph have brought these backcountry bombs ever closer to their tipping point. Avoid time spent below cornices and keep a healthy distance (and then some) away from the edge if travelling along a corniced ridge today. Cornices now are as large as we’ve seen all season and have a tendency to break much further back than one might anticipate. Given the sheer size and weight of any cornice failure today, it’s quite possible a cornice fall will initiate a slab on the slope below.
I spotted one new glide crack that appeared to have released mid-storm and maybe a hundred others that ‘disappeared’ during the storm. Unfortunately glides are going to be difficult to see right now due to last weekends fresh snow, but make no mistake, these cracks are still scattered about in the backcountry, mainly in the 1500 – 2500’ elevation band in popular ski/ snowmachine terrain such as Seattle ridge, Main bowl, Tincan and others. Glide cracks are growing larger by the day but still prove very difficult to forecast for. Your best bet continues to be to map out where these cracks exist and limit you exposure time below.
Pre-storm and post-storm photo of Seattle ridge from the motorized parking lot. Notice the glide cracks in the upper image have all been buried with the subsequent storm. Make no mistake, glide cracks do still exist and threaten a lot of well-travelled terrain on both the motorized and non-motorized side of the highway.
The short but intense storm that impacted south central Alaska wrapped up on Sunday night after depositing 2-4.5 inches of water weight from Summit Lake to Girdwood. Yesterday, the Turnagain pass area was under a showery regime most of the day with just a few short breaks where the sun managed to poke through. 1-3 € of new snow fell throughout the day as temperatures hovered right around 32F at 1,000 feet. Winds were out of the NE in the teens and gusting to 30’s mph at ridgetops.
Today we can expect ridgetop winds to increase in the 25-45mph range from the East. Temperatures will be in the mid-30’s at 1,000′ promoting 2-4 inches of snow below about 1,300 feet.
Yet another warm front spinning off a Gulf of Alaska low is expected to impact our area overnight tonight and through the remainder of the workweek, bringing warmer temperatures and more unsettled weather. Stay tuned!
|Temp Avg (F)||Snow (in)||Water (in)||Snow Depth (in)|
|Center Ridge (1880′)||30||3||.3||121|
|Summit Lake (1400′)||29||3||.4||40|
|Alyeska Mid (1700′)||32||2||.2||98|
|Temp Avg (F)||Wind Dir||Wind Avg (mph)||Wind Gust (mph)|
|Seattle Ridge (2400′)||25||n/a *||n/a *||n/a *|
*Seattle ridge anemometer (wind) appears to be rimed up.
|05/22/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan||Nick D'Alessio|
|05/12/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan, Sunburst, Magnum, Cornbiscuit||Heather Thamm|
|05/07/23||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan – Bear Tracks||CNFAIC Staff|
|05/05/23||Turnagain||Observation: Seattle Ridge||AS/ WW Forecaster|
|05/02/23||Turnagain||Observation: Cornbiscuit||Schauer/ Sturgess Forecaster|
|05/02/23||Turnagain||Observation: Seward Hwy Turnagain Pass||Joel Curtis|
|04/30/23||Turnagain||Observation: Magnum||Ayla, Kit Crosby, Barton|
|04/29/23||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan||John Sykes|
|04/28/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Taylor Pass/Pastoral||Schauer/ Creighton Forecaster|
|04/28/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan||Andy Moderow|
Status of riding areas across the Chugach NF is managed by the Glacier and Seward Ranger Districts, not avalanche center staff. Riding area information is posted as a public service to our users and updated based on snow depth and snow density to prevent resource damage at trailhead locations. Riding area questions contact: email@example.com
|Area||Status||Weather & Riding Conditions|
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This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area. This advisory does not apply to highways, railroads or operating ski areas.