Sat, December 28, 2013 Turnagain Pass Avalanche Forecast

Sat, December 28th, 2013

Alpine
Above 2,500'

Moderate (2)

Treeline
1,000'-2,500'

Moderate (2)

Below Treeline
Below 1,000'

Moderate (2)

Alpine Above 2,500'		Moderate (2)
Treeline 1,000'-2,500'		Moderate (2)
Below Treeline Below 1,000'		Moderate (2)

Danger Scale:

No Rating (0)

Low (1)

Moderate (2)

Considerable (3)

High (4)

Extreme (5)

Avalanche Problem 1

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

More info at Avalanche.org

While there have only been small amounts of occasional snowfall in the month of December, we continue to observe lingering instabilities in our snowpack. Collapsing has been occurring at all elevations for several weeks now. Snowpit results have shown that the potential still exists for skiers and snowmachiners to trigger avalanches in steep upper elevation terrain. This was the case in a skier triggered avalanche that occurred on December 26 (see photo below). Strong winds that cranked on December 23rd helped to create dense slabs that are sitting on weak snow in upper elevation starting zones. Avalanches of late have been sliding on weak snow just above a crust that was formed in early December.

It will be important to continue to treat steep slopes over 40 degrees with suspicion today.

Photo of a skier triggered slab avalanche that occured on December 26th. No one was injured in this avalanche. (See write up HERE)

Superbowl Av 12-26

Avalanche Problem 2

Wind Slabs

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

More info at Avalanche.org

3-5” of new snow overnight combined with moderate to strong winds out of the East have created shallow pockets of wind slab in the higher elevations. While these slabs will be relatively small, they will be sensitive to the weight of a person or snowmachine. It is more likely to trigger a newly formed pocket of windslab compared to a deeper, older slab today. However, the potential exists for these smaller avalanches to trigger layers deeper in the snowpack. This 1-2 combo of fresh wind slabs and persistent slabs will make it critical to avoid steep starting zones in the higher elevations today.

Weather

Sat, December 28th, 2013

In the past 24 hour the mountains around Eastern Turnagain Arm have picked up 3-5 € of new snow with .2-.3 inches of water. Winds have increased overnight and have averaged 26 mph out of the East since 10pm at the Sunburst weather station. Temperatures have been on the rise as well with Seattle Ridge reading 25 F and Sunburst at 23 F at 6am.

Temperatures will continue to rise today into the upper 20s to low 30s F. Snow showers in the higher elevations will lay down another 1-2 € of snow today. Light rain and freezing rain will fall between sea level and 1,000′. Precipitation will taper off by early afternoon. Ridegtop winds will be out of the East and Southeast at 25-30mph.

The extended outlook is calling for generally dry conditions and mild temperatures over the next several days.

Observations

Recent Observations for Turnagain Pass

Date	Region	Location	Observer
01/19/21	Turnagain	Avalanche: Cornbiscuit	Schauer/ Johnston-Bloom Forecaster
01/19/21	Turnagain	Avalanche: Sunburst and Tincan	CNFAIC Staff
01/19/21	Turnagain	Avalanche: Seattle Ridge	CNFAIC Staff
01/19/21	Turnagain	Avalanche: Tincan 2900′ SW aspect below Hippy Bowl.	Kris Marshall
01/18/21	Turnagain	Observation: Turnagain Pass Road Obs.	A Schauer Forecaster
01/16/21	Turnagain	Avalanche: Tincan Trees	A Schauer Forecaster
01/15/21	Turnagain	Observation: Sunburst	Schauer/ Wunnicke Forecaster
01/13/21	Turnagain	Observation: Tincan	Johnston-Bloom / Moderow Forecaster
01/13/21	Turnagain	Observation: Center Ridge Meadows	Alaska Avalanche School Rec Level 1 Roberts
01/12/21	Turnagain	Avalanche: Seattle Ridge/Center Ridge	A Schauer Forecaster

Riding Areas

Updated Tue, January 12th, 2021

Status of riding areas across the Chugach NF is managed by the Glacier and Seward Ranger Districts, not avalanche center staff. Riding area information is posted as a public service to our users and updated based on snow depth and snow density to prevent resource damage at trailhead locations. Riding area questions contact: mailroom_r10_chugach@fs.fed.us

Area	Status	Weather & Riding Conditions
Glacier District
Johnson Pass	Open	No parking in turnaround at end of the road near the outhouse.
Placer River	Open	Early season conditions exist, including thin ice on rivers, swamps and lakes. Please do not ride along Railroad tracks. Cross tracks at 90 degree angle and clear the right of way.
Skookum Drainage	Open	Early season conditions exist, including thin ice on rivers, swamps and lakes. Please do not ride along Railroad tracks. Cross tracks at 90 degree angle and clear the right of way.
Turnagain Pass	Open
Twentymile	Closed
Seward District
Carter Lake	Open
Lost Lake Trail	Open
Primrose Trail	Open
Resurrection Pass Trail	Closed	Closed for the 2020/21 winter season.
Snug Harbor	Open
South Fork Snow River Corridor	Open
Summit Lake	Open