|Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.
|Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.
|Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding, and conservative decision-making essential.
|Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.
|Extraordinarily dangerous avalanche conditions. Avoid all avalanche terrain.
|Likelihood of Avalanches
|Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.
|Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.
|Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.
|Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.
|Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.
|Avalanche Size and Distribution
|Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.
|Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.
|Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.
|Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.
|Very large avalanches in many areas.
Hazards associated with early season conditions continue to be the main problem to deal with in the mountains around eastern Turnagain Arm. Exposed rocks and a variable crust will make travel difficult in avalanche terrain today.
Over the weekend we followed the development of our newest crust on the surface. This thin crust exists at all elevations and in most areas has a layer of surface hoar sitting on top. While this crust/surface hoar combo is not dangerous now, it will have our attention when a slab forms on top of it in the future. Continue to check our observations page as we monitor the development of our snowpack.
The ridge of high pressure that brought spring like weather to the mountains over the weekend is breaking down today. Ridge top temperatures are in the low twenties F this morning.
A weak disturbance associated with a low pressure system to the Southwest will bring the chance of some light flurries through the day. This will help to push the remaining areas of fog out of the lower elevations. Winds will be light out of the West and ridge top temps will reach into the mid to upper twenties F.
As this high pressure ridge breaks down a series of low pressure systems will brush by well to the South of the area over the next several days. This will translate to cooler temps, cloudy skies and low chance for precip until later in the week.
|Observation: Kickstep NE Bowl
|Observation: TinCan Backdoor/ Center Ridge
|AAS L1 Turnagain
|Avalanche: Lynx Creek
|Observation: Turnagain, Seattle, Mt Ascension
|Silverton Mountain Guides
|Observation: Tincan Trees
|Dalpes/Thamm/ Schauer Forecaster
|Observation: Seward Highway across from Johnson Pass TH
|Avalanche: Base of Seattle Ridge
|Troy Tempel, Thomas Lees, .Josh Bollaert, Damian Naquin
|Observation: Lynx creek