|Signal Word||Size (D scale)||Simple Descriptor|
|Small||1||Unlikely to bury a person|
|Large||2||Can bury a person|
|Very Large||3||Can destroy a house|
|Historic||4 & 5||Can destroy part or all of a village|
With temperatures in the Alpine forecast to be in the single digits and low teens today, it seems like the arrival of spring is saying a big “April Fools’!” And instead of March coming in like a lion and going out like lamb, it’s more like most of the month has been the movie Groundhog Day. The weather forecast this morning is pretty similar to many of the days in March (and February). That being said, there is no reason to complain about cold soft snow sticking around on shady aspects. The only real sign of spring today is the sun crust on SW through SE slopes.
The main avalanche issue continues to be the possibility of triggering an avalanche on buried weak layers in the top 3′ of the snowpack. We know there are a couple of layers of buried facets and surface hoar across the forecast area. Snowpack tests have produce varied results, with some showing the potential for an avalanche to be triggered and some pointing towards stability. It has been a week since the last reported human triggered avalanche that failed on a buried weak layer. However, natural avalanches occurred in Summit Lake on Monday. Persistent weak layers in the snowpack often present this feeling of uncertainty and we aren’t ready to forget about them. Steep terrain with wind loaded snow over the weak snow is the most suspect today. Be on the lookout for areas that were previously wind loaded and those with any new wind loading from the NW winds yesterday and today. Lurking slabs will likely be at upper and mid elevations, immediately below ridgelines, in cross-loaded gullies, and below convexities.
As always, use good travel protocol, and think about terrain consequences. Hard wind affected surface snow might allow you to get well out on the slope before the avalanche releases and it might not be the first person that triggers the avalanche.
Wind Slabs: Observers yesterday reported a bit of snow moving with the northwest winds and if winds bump up today we could see more of that. Watch for pockets of fresh wind slab in upper elevation terrain. Look for shooting cracks and avoid hollow sounding snow in steep terrain. There is a blowing snow advisory for Whittier this morning.
Loose snow avalanches: Steep slopes that are sheltered from the wind have loose snow sitting on top of firm surfaces. It will be easy to trigger dry loose avalanches (sluffs) in that terrain today, and they can pick up enough volume and speed to carry a person. While it is unlikely they will be big enough to bury you, they can be dangerous if they drag you into terrain traps like cliffs, trees, rocks, or gullies.
Sun effect: Colder temperatures and NW winds should keep most surface snow from warming too much today. However, steep protected southerly slopes (especially under rocks) may get some warming from the afternoon sun. If crusts soften and/or you see any roller balls, move to a shadier aspect and colder snow.
Yesterday: Skies were mostly cloudy with temperatures in the teens in the alpine and high 20°Fs to low 30°Fs near sea level. Winds were westerly 5-10 mph with gusts into the teens. Overnight skies were mostly cloudy with temperatures in the teens and low 20°Fs. Winds were northerly 5-10 mph.
Today: Chance of snow this morning with decreasing clouds today and skies becoming partly sunny in the afternoon. Ridgetop temperatures will be in the single digits to low teens and valley bottoms will be in the high 20°Fs. Winds will be from the NW 5-15 mph with gusts into the 20s. Overnight skies will be partly cloudy with temperatures in the single digits to mid teens. Winds will continue from the NW 5-10 mph with gusts into the 20s.
Tomorrow: Skies will be partly cloudy with cloud cover increasing through the day. Temperatures will be in the 20°Fs to low 30°Fs and winds will be light and westerly.
PRECIPITATION 24-hour data (6am – 6am)
|Temp Avg (F)||Snow (in)||Water (in)||Snow Depth (in)|
|Center Ridge (1880′)||25||0||0||110|
|Summit Lake (1400′)||25||0||0||50|
|Alyeska Mid (1700′)||24||0||0||117|
RIDGETOP 24-hour data (6am – 6am)
|Temp Avg (F)||Wind Dir||Wind Avg (mph)||Wind Gust (mph)|
|Seattle Ridge (2400′)||19||NW||4||15|
|01/31/23||Turnagain||Observation: Johnson Pass area||Megan Guinn / W Wagner Forecaster|
|01/29/23||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan Backdoor||AAS-Level 1 1/27-1/30|
|01/28/23||Turnagain||Observation: Sunburst||Brooke Edwards|
|01/28/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Seattle Ridge||W Wagner|
|01/28/23||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan Common||Tony Naciuk|
|01/27/23||Turnagain||Observation: Sunburst||John Sykes|
|01/27/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Lynx Creek||Megan Guinn / W Wagner|
|01/25/23||Turnagain||Observation: Cornbiscuit||John Sykes Forecaster|
|01/22/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan||Schauer/ Guinn|
|01/21/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Seattle Ridge||Elias Holt|
Status of riding areas across the Chugach NF is managed by the Glacier and Seward Ranger Districts, not avalanche center staff. Riding area information is posted as a public service to our users and updated based on snow depth and snow density to prevent resource damage at trailhead locations. Riding area questions contact: email@example.com
|Area||Status||Weather & Riding Conditions|
This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area. This advisory does not apply to highways, railroads or operating ski areas.