|Signal Word||Size (D scale)||Simple Descriptor|
|Small||1||Unlikely to bury a person|
|Large||2||Can bury a person|
|Very Large||3||Can destroy a house|
|Historic||4 & 5||Can destroy part or all of a village|
It doesn’t take much digging right now to find and easily identify the buried layer of surface hoar (buried on MLK day) responsible for a number of human-triggered avalanches on the motorized side of Turnagain Pass on Saturday. We found this same layer to be widespread on Sunburst yesterday above 2,000’ (and up to our high point at 3,400’). It shows up in a snowpit wall or snowmachine trench as a thin grey line 12-24” below the surface on all aspects. Though no obvious red flags were present during yesterday’s tour, the poor structure and widespread nature of this persistent weak layer has our hackles up. Thin spots in the slab (near rocks or wind scoured areas) are more likely trigger points and should be avoided.
There is no mistaking the MLK buried surface hoar layer in snowpits right now. As seen on Sunburst yesterday buried 12-16″ below the surface.
Snowpack tests over the last two days have all showed high propagation potential on the MLK layer. With such a connected weak layer across multiple aspects and elevation bands, any avalanche initiated has the potential to be quite wide. As seen on Saturday, these avalanches can be triggered remotely from the bottom of a slope or even an adjacent ridge.
Maintain your situational awareness of where you are on slope in relation to avalanche terrain, any objective hazards (terrain traps) and other groups today. This is the type of avalanche problem that can very quickly affect an adjacent, unsuspecting party. Cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making is critical when dealing with known persistent weak layers.
Long shooting crack and subsequent cornice fall triggered by snowmachiners on the ridge near the Seattle Ridge weather station on Saturday Jan.26th. photo: Iron.iii.Oxide
Wind slabs: If forecasted winds kick up in the 20-40mph range from the east today, expect fresh wind slabs to form on lee aspects. This additional weight will push the MLK layer closer to its tipping point.
Cornices: Give these backcountry bombs a wide berth while traversing ridges and limit exposure underneath. A cornice fall today on a slope greater than 30 degrees may trigger a slab avalanche below.
South of Turnagain – Johnson Pass/Summit Lake zone: Areas south of Turnagain Pass generally harbor a thinner, weaker snowpack with multiple weak layers present, including the MLK buried surface hoar layer. An avalanche triggered in these zones could step down into deeper weak layers, with the potential for large avalanches. See video here of two separate and reactive weak layers in a January 26th snowpit in the Silvertip area south of Turnagain Pass, that clearly demonstrates the step down potential.
Yesterday: Mostly cloudy skies and flat light dominated the eastern Turnagain arm region. Ridgetop winds were light from the east with the occasional gust into the 30’s with no measurable precipitation. Temperatures were consistent in the low 20’s at ridgetops (Sunburst at 3880′) and mid to high 30’s at sea level (Portage).
Today: East winds are expected to bump up into the 20-40mph range as a low moves up Cook Inlet. We may squeeze out 2-5″ of snow under overcast skies with a rain/ snow line around 500′. Temperatures look to be in the mid-30’s at 1,000′ and mid-20’s at ridgetops.
Tomorrow: Tonight and into tomorrow unsettled weather continues. Precipitation type and rain/ snow line will be the big question. Generally though, temperatures look to be cooling throughout the work week as the unsettled pattern continues. Think #snowtosealevel
*Seattle Ridge weather station was heavily rimed and the anemometer (wind sensor) was destroyed. We are currently working to replace it.
PRECIPITATION 24-hour data (6am – 6am)
|Temp Avg (F)||Snow (in)||Water (in)||Snow Depth (in)|
|Center Ridge (1880′)||32||0||0||58|
|Summit Lake (1400′)||28||0||0||20|
|Alyeska Mid (1700′)||32||trace||.01||44|
|Temp Avg (F)||Wind Dir||Wind Avg (mph)||Wind Gust (mph)|
|Seattle Ridge (2400′)||27||*N/A||*N/A||*N/A|
|11/30/22||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan||John Sykes Forecaster|
|11/28/22||Turnagain||Observation: Pastoral||Schauer/ Wadsworth Forecaster|
|11/26/22||Turnagain||Observation: Eddies||Schauer/ Cullen Forecaster|
|11/26/22||Turnagain||Observation: Eddies||Andy Moderow|
|11/26/22||Turnagain||Observation: Lipps||Big Ripper|
|11/25/22||Turnagain||Observation: Sunburst||Hannah Smith|
|11/25/22||Turnagain||Observation: Sunnyside / Seattle Ridge||Matti Silta|
|11/25/22||Turnagain||Observation: Sunburst||John Sykes Forecaster|
|11/25/22||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan Trees||Andy Moderow|
Status of riding areas across the Chugach NF is managed by the Glacier and Seward Ranger Districts, not avalanche center staff. Riding area information is posted as a public service to our users and updated based on snow depth and snow density to prevent resource damage at trailhead locations. Riding area questions contact: email@example.com
|Area||Status||Weather & Riding Conditions|
This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area. This advisory does not apply to highways, railroads or operating ski areas.