Sustained moderate winds from the east have been blowing for four days and will remain, to varying degrees, over the region again today. These winds have redistributed the snow and formed wind slabs and not-so-fun crusts is many areas; see Monday’s field report from Turnagain HERE. Wind slabs could be found in steep terrain and could be hard enough, and stubborn enough, to allow a person on to them before popping loose. Look for stiff, pillowed snow, cracking and listen for hollow, drum-like sounds.
Wind effect along Sunburst Ridge looking north toward Tincan Ridge.
At the upper elevations we are keeping tabs on a thin layer of buried surface hoar sitting 1-3′ below the surface. An observer Sunday found this layer to still be reactive in a snowpit on Sunburst right around 2500′. Monday at 3100′ on Sunburst there were no results testing this layer but it was very easy to spot laid over in the snowpack. Side note, this layer was unreactive last week at 3,150′ on Tincan as well. The concern is finding a slope with buried surface hoar that is still intact, upright and reactive enough that it propagates into an avalanche. At this point obvious signs of instability may not be seen but some lingering suspicion is advised even as the likelihood decreases. As always use safe travel protocol and choose terrain with consequences in mind. For example, where is the avalanche path and where would I end up if the slope slides?
Pastoral Peak, looking east from Sunburst through Taylor Pass. Note the crown of a large avalanche under the rock band on Pastoral – earthquake triggered slab on Nov 30th. This avalanche likely released on the Nov. 23 buried surface hoar.
Surface conditions below 1,500′ at Turnagain Pass.
Yesterday: Mostly cloudy to obscured skies were over the area. Ridgetop winds over the past 24 hours have been moderate (10-20mph) from the east with gusts up to 40mph. Temperatures have climbed overnight and sit in the mid 30’sF at 1,000′ and the upper 20’sF along ridgetops this morning.
Today: Partly cloudy to cloudy skies are expected with a chance for a few raindrops below 1,500′ and snowflakes above 1,500′. No measureable precip is forecast. Ridgetops winds will remain easterly in the 15-20mph range with gusts to the 40’s. Temperatures should remain warm, with daytime highs up to 38F at 1,000′ and 30F along ridgetops.
Tomorrow: Unsettled warm weather is forecast to continue with rain and snow showers picking up Thursday afternoon and intensifying on Friday. Our friends at the NWS said this about the upcoming system “The track of the storm favors western Prince William Sound/eastern Kenai Peninsula for some of the heaviest precipitation with strong east to southeast upslope flow. Warm air accompanying the low means most of this will be in the form of rain”. The rain/snow like for Friday looks to push into the 2,000′ plus range.
*Seattle Ridge wind sensor is rimed over. Alyeska Mid Wx Station and Summit Lake Snotel snow depth sensor are not functioning.
|Temp Avg (F)||Snow (in)||Water (in)||Snow Depth (in)|
|Center Ridge (1880′)||33||1||0.1||13|
|Summit Lake (1400′)||29||0||0||5 (estimate)|
|Alyeska Mid (1700′)||32||trace||0.23||0.2|
|Temp Avg (F)||Wind Dir||Wind Avg (mph)||Wind Gust (mph)|
|Seattle Ridge (2400′)||28||*no data||*no data||*no data|
|12/10/19||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan and Sunburst from the air||CNFAIC Staff|
|12/10/19||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan||Nancy Pfeiffer|
|12/08/19||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan||Ryan Van Luit Forecaster|
|12/06/19||Turnagain||Avalanche: Sunburst||Billy Finley|
|12/04/19||Turnagain||Observation: Sunburst||A.Johnston-Bloom/ W.Wagner/ R.Van Luit Forecaster|
|12/03/19||Turnagain||Observation: Hippy Bowl||Nick Langowski|
|12/01/19||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan, All elevations||Eric Roberts|
|12/01/19||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan||Andy Moderow|
|11/30/19||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan Treeline Plateau/ Common Bowl/ Ridge||Eric Roberts|
|11/29/19||Turnagain||Observation: Sunburst Ob #2||Aleph Johnston-Bloom Forecaster|
Status of riding areas across the Chugach NF is managed by the Glacier and Seward Ranger Districts, not avalanche center staff. Riding area information is posted as a public service to our users and updated based on snow depth and snow density to prevent resource damage at trailhead locations. Riding area questions contact: email@example.com
|Area||Status||Weather & Riding Conditions|
Subscribe to Turnagain Pass
Avalanche Forecast by Email