Numerous natural avalanches were observed yesterday and natural activity is expected throughout the day with continued weather impacting our region. This includes large natural slab avalanches 2-5’ thick in the alpine and wet avalanches below 2000’ due to heavy rain and above freezing temperatures. Avalanche activity could run the full length of a slope, thus it will be important to stay off any slopes greater than 30 degrees and avoid being near any runout zones today. This set up could be a hazard even in the Tincan Trees where a small terrain features could have high consequences. In channeled terrain an avalanche from above could easily entrain wet snow in the lower elevations and run further than expected. This will be especially important in places like Portage Valley, Johnson Pass trail and the flats below Seattle Ridge.
Storm totals for Turnagain Pass over the last two days are estimated around 2-3’ in the alpine with an additional 10-12” possible today. For the second evening in a row ridgetop winds from the East (SE to NE) have picked up into the 40s and 50s mph and early this morning several gusts reached over 100 mph at Sunburst weather station. Above freezing temperatures have been recorded at Center Ridge weather station (1800’) and its possible that rain/snow line may reach 2000’ by this afternoon.
In the afternoon temperatures are expected to increase as precipitation and winds back off. Similar to yesterday natural activity may increase with a little afternoon sun and/or above freezing temps in the upper elevations. Again it will be important to avoid ALL steep terrain and maintain a conservative distance from all run-out zones.
Avoidance of avalanche terrain is the only way to “manage” this problem today.
A natural avalanche observed in Portage Valley yesterday afternoon near Williwaw Campground. This avalanche was well away from the road cooridor.
Partial clearing in the afternoon allowed the DOT web cam to catch this avalanche some time after it released on Tincan, CFR ridge. It was first noticed at 2:35pm on the web cam, but this is the best photo.
Wet loose activity was observed on many slopes after the sun appeared briefly in the afternoon. Photo taken near Portage turn.
Weak snow (facets and depth hoar) in the lower layers of the snowpack continues to be a concern in our advisory area. Today avalanches occurring in the upper layers have the potential to step down and release the entire snowpack in some places. If this does happen the volume will be large and could run long distances.
Travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended today including being in the runout of a steep slope.
Yesterday above freezing temperatures were observed along Turnagain Pass with a partial clearing late afternoon, where the sun was observed briefly. Strong (40-50mph) Easterly ridge top winds decreased to moderate (20-30mph) in the afternoon. Overnight ridge top wind increased into the 40-60’s mph range with several gusts in the 90-100mph mph’s on Sunburst weather station. In the last 24 hour (6am to 6am) about 12-15 € of snow fell in upper elevations (1 € of H2O) in Turngain Pass and 15-20 € of snow (1.5 € H20) in Girdwood.
Today as an intense front moves through our region heavy precipitation is expected to last through mid morning, this is snow above 2000′, with an additional 10-12 € of snow. Strong Easterly ridgetop winds are expected to decrease into the 20-30mph range by early afternoon, but expect gusts to still be in the 40’s mph. Expect above freezing temperatures into mid elevations and rain/snow line to be as high as 2000′.
Tonight temperatures are expected to cool and winds will deminish. Cooler temperatures are expected into this week and more precipitation will hopefully bring snow instead of rain to lower elevations throughout the week.
*Seattle Weather station was not working for part of the day yesterday and there appears to be an issue with the temperatures sensor.
PRECIPITATION 24-hour data (6am – 6am)
|Temp Avg (F)||Snow (in)||Water (in)||Snow Depth (in)|
|Center Ridge (1880′)||36||11||1.0||74|
|Summit Lake (1400′)||34||1||.3||27|
|Alyeska Mid (1700′)||33||5||1.45||62|
|Temp Avg (F)||Wind Dir||Wind Avg (mph)||Wind Gust (mph)|
|Seattle Ridge (2400′)||*n/a||*SE||*20||*51|
|01/16/21||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan Trees||A Schauer Forecaster|
|01/15/21||Turnagain||Observation: Sunburst||Schauer/ Wunnicke Forecaster|
|01/13/21||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan||Johnston-Bloom / Moderow Forecaster|
|01/13/21||Turnagain||Observation: Center Ridge Meadows||Alaska Avalanche School Rec Level 1 Roberts|
|01/12/21||Turnagain||Avalanche: Seattle Ridge/Center Ridge||A Schauer Forecaster|
|01/11/21||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan Trees||Schauer/ Roberts Forecaster|
|01/10/21||Turnagain||Observation: Center Ridge Meadows||Alaska Avalanche School Pro 1 Course Latosuo|
|01/10/21||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan trees||Anonymous|
|01/09/21||Turnagain||Observation: Johnson Pass||Anonymous|
|01/08/21||Turnagain||Observation: Sunburst meadow between Hemlocks||Anonymous|
Status of riding areas across the Chugach NF is managed by the Glacier and Seward Ranger Districts, not avalanche center staff. Riding area information is posted as a public service to our users and updated based on snow depth and snow density to prevent resource damage at trailhead locations. Riding area questions contact: email@example.com
|Area||Status||Weather & Riding Conditions|
This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area. This advisory does not apply to highways, railroads or operating ski areas.