Turnagain Pass Avalanche Forecast
A generally LOW avalanche danger exists across all elevations bands for the Turnagain Pass zone. Triggering a 1-2′ avalanche is unlikely but not impossible. The most suspect slopes are in steep terrain at the high elevations where someone just might be able to break off an old wind slab or find a slope with the buried surface hoar that hasn’t slid. Good travel habits, such as exposing one person at a time, watching your partners and grouping up in safe zones are key ways to minimize risk. Ease onto steep slopes and be prepared to change your plans if an area becomes too crowded.
There is snow to sea level, just enough to put a LOW danger rating on the Below Treeline Elevation band. If venturing into the ‘periphery’ forecast zones, such as Girdwood Valley, more caution is advised due to limited information about the snowpack in these areas. This should also be part of the equation if you are heading to ice climb in Portage where even a small slide could have high consequences.
If headed to Summit Lake check out the Saturday Summit Lake Summary HERE.
Mark your calendar for this week’s Fireside Chat: Avalanche Awareness and Rescue w/CNFAIC in Girdwood at the Powder Hound Ski Shop! December 15 @ 6:30 pm – 8:00 pm. FREE.
The Friends of the CNFAIC is offering two $500 avalanche education scholarships through the Rob Hammel fund. One is for avalanche professionals and the other is open to anyone! The deadline for both scholarships is Dec 15th! For more information click this link HERE.
Thanks to everyone who took time out of their beautiful sunny weekend to collect observations and submit them! We really appreciate the information!
Over the weekend many people were out in the mountains slope testing and there were no human triggered avalanches reported. With a stable weather pattern dominating our region and very little changes affecting the snowpack we are in a Normal Caution phase for avalanche issues. These include:
1- Triggering an outlier avalanche. This would most likely be an ‘unsupported slab’ that sits above a cliff or steep rocky terrain. More on this below in ‘Additional Concerns.’
2- Triggering an old wind slab – Avoid hard stiff snow sitting in steep rocky terrain where a small isolated wind slab could have high consequences.
3- Triggering a cornice fall. Cornices are small right now, but similar to wind slabs they could take you down somewhere you don’t want to go. Give cornices a wide berth.
4- Sluffs on steep slopes. Small sluffs were observed yesterday, and as the surface snow becomes weaker under clear skies the potential for bigger stuff will increase.
Remember LOW hazard doesn’t mean NO hazard! Look for signs of instability and use good travel techniques.
Final ridge up Pastoral, near 4400′ Photo: Andy Moderow
Even with LOW avalanche danger it is still important to remember the weak layer 1-2′ below the surface i.e. the notorious Nov 16th buried surface hoar. Although we have not seen an avalanche release in this layer since December 3rd and the slab character has been changing due to the cold temperatures, there are still slopes away from the ‘popular’ zones that have yet to be tested. These are the areas most suspect. Triggering is unlikely but not impossible!
Yesterday was cold, clear and calm. An inversion kept ridge top temps in the teens to low 20Fs and lower elevations in the single digits or below zero. This was true overnight as well.
Today and tomorrow will be similar with clear skies, light N-NW winds and temperatures ranging from single digits in the valleys to teens and low 20Fs at higher elevations.
According to the NWS “the rather stagnant weather pattern will be changing dramatically” later in the week. Precipitation and warmer temperatures are forecasted. Stay tuned!
|Temp Avg (F)||Snow (in)||Water (in)||Snow Depth (in)|
|Center Ridge (1880′)||14||0||0||20|
|Summit Lake (1400′)||3||0||0||4|
|Alyeska Mid (1700′)||17||0||0||9|
|Temp Avg (F)||Wind Dir||Wind Avg (mph)||Wind Gust (mph)|
|Seattle Ridge (2400′)||21||variable||3||10|
|05/22/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan||Nick D'Alessio|
|05/12/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan, Sunburst, Magnum, Cornbiscuit||Heather Thamm|
|05/07/23||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan – Bear Tracks||CNFAIC Staff|
|05/05/23||Turnagain||Observation: Seattle Ridge||AS/ WW Forecaster|
|05/02/23||Turnagain||Observation: Cornbiscuit||Schauer/ Sturgess Forecaster|
|05/02/23||Turnagain||Observation: Seward Hwy Turnagain Pass||Joel Curtis|
|04/30/23||Turnagain||Observation: Magnum||Ayla, Kit Crosby, Barton|
|04/29/23||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan||John Sykes|
|04/28/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Taylor Pass/Pastoral||Schauer/ Creighton Forecaster|
|04/28/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan||Andy Moderow|
Status of riding areas across the Chugach NF is managed by the Glacier and Seward Ranger Districts, not avalanche center staff. Riding area information is posted as a public service to our users and updated based on snow depth and snow density to prevent resource damage at trailhead locations. Riding area questions contact: firstname.lastname@example.org
|Area||Status||Weather & Riding Conditions|
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This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area. This advisory does not apply to highways, railroads or operating ski areas.