Turnagain Pass Avalanche Forecast
There is a CONSIDERABLE avalanche hazard today above 1,000′ where upwards of a foot of new snow has fallen with strong winds. A variety of avalanche problems are out there and the one most likely to impact a person are fresh wind slabs 1-2′ thick. These slabs are likely to be triggered by a person and could release naturally with warming by the sun. Additionally, wet loose snow avalanches will be likely on steep sunlit slopes. Cornice falls are possible as well today and glide avalanches continue to release.
**Today’s message is to go into the backcountry with a conservative mind set. Constantly assess the new snow. How it is sticking (or not sticking) to the old surfaces? Keep in mind that it is springtime and sunshine will be a trigger for avalanches. Safer areas to recreate will be in mellow terrain with slopes less than 35 degrees.
If you are headed to Summit Lake, check out today’s weekly summary HERE.
Tune-up your avalanche skills for Spring Break, play in the flats and let the snowpack adjust today!
Photo of the set up yesterday at the motorized lot for today’s event:
A quick hitting storm rolled through the region yesterday bringing a much needed ‘re-fresh’ to Turnagain Pass. The Turnagain Pass SNOTEL station reported 9″ of new snow beginning yesterday around noon and ending last night around midnight. This usually equates to around a foot in the Alpine. The rain/snow line was hovering just under the parking lot elevations on the Pass, around 1,000′. We did get a report of a natural avalanche seen across the Arm from Girdwood, see that and additonal info HERE. This new snow is great news, but a new set of avalanche conditions will come with it as well. These are:
Wind Slabs: Winds associated with the snowfall were moderate to strong from a generally Easterly direction. This is a perfect recipe for forming wind slabs above treeline that could be anywhere from 1-2+’ thick. How well these fresh slabs are bonding with the old snow surface is uncertain – and something to be wary of today. The old snow surface was quite variable, harboring sun crusts on Southerly aspects, wind crusts and loose faceting snow. All of these surfaces are not likely to promote good bonding right away and our hackles should be up. Things to watch for today:
1- Recent avalanches, the skies should clear for good visibility
2- Cracking or collapsing in the new snow
3- Slopes that have been windloaded – Avoid these today, give them a chance to adjust
4- SUN…. If the sun comes out slabs could release naturally with the warming!
Loose Snow Avalanches: Once the sun does come out (today or tomorrow) damp/wet sluffs are likely to run naturally. These will also be easily triggered by a person. Sluffs should entrain mostly just the new snow, so how much new snow is on a slope will depend on how large the sluff is.
Cornices: Another round of snow and wind will only add to the weight of these truck size features overhanging many slopes. Extra caution is warranted when choosing how you travel along ridgelines – give cornices an extra wide berth. Also, limit time under these, they could fall on their own and the sun warming them will add to this possibility.
AVOID travel under glide cracks. This week has been a particularly active glide avalanche cycle. Glide cracks continue to threaten large areas of terrain throughout Turnagain Pass, Girdwood, and Summit Lake. There were several new glide avalanches seen Wednesday from the Seward Hwy, and a large glide released on the East face of Seattle Ridge a few days ago. Glide cracks are on all aspects within the mid-elevation band (1000′-2500′), and some areas like the SW face of Cornbiscuit and Tincan are covered. This avalanche problem is impossible to predict and is not associated with human triggers. We have been talking about the glide avalanche problem for over two months in the advisory and as long as glide cracks continue to open up, move and release, we will stress the importance of avoiding them.
Yesterday saw a quick moving disturbance move through. Visibility was poor as rain fell below 800-1,000′ with snow above. The Turnagain Pass SNOTEL site has reported 9″ of new snow at 2,000′. Winds associated with the snowfall were 20-25mph from the East along the ridgetops with stronger gusts. Temperatures have been warm, in the mid 30’s F at 1,000′ and the mid 20’sF at 3,500′.
Overnight, snowfall has stopped and winds have died down. For today, skies should begin to clear up as the system exists the region; we are expecting the sun to come out for the afternoon. Winds today are expected to be light, 5-10mph, from a generally East direction and temperatures warm, up to 40F at 1,000′ and the upper 20’sF in the Alpine.
Sunday and into Monday looks to be mostly clear as well with sunny skies and light Easterly ridgetop winds.
|Temp Avg (F)||Snow (in)||Water (in)||Snow Depth (in)|
|Center Ridge (1880′)||31||9||0.9||143|
|Summit Lake (1400′)||35||0||0||43|
|Alyeska Mid (1700′)||32||5||0.7||110|
|Temp Avg (F)||Wind Dir||Wind Avg (mph)||Wind Gust (mph)|
|Seattle Ridge (2400′)||26||SE||16||35|
|05/22/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan||Nick D'Alessio|
|05/12/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan, Sunburst, Magnum, Cornbiscuit||Heather Thamm|
|05/07/23||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan – Bear Tracks||CNFAIC Staff|
|05/05/23||Turnagain||Observation: Seattle Ridge||AS/ WW Forecaster|
|05/02/23||Turnagain||Observation: Cornbiscuit||Schauer/ Sturgess Forecaster|
|05/02/23||Turnagain||Observation: Seward Hwy Turnagain Pass||Joel Curtis|
|04/30/23||Turnagain||Observation: Magnum||Ayla, Kit Crosby, Barton|
|04/29/23||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan||John Sykes|
|04/28/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Taylor Pass/Pastoral||Schauer/ Creighton Forecaster|
|04/28/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan||Andy Moderow|
Status of riding areas across the Chugach NF is managed by the Glacier and Seward Ranger Districts, not avalanche center staff. Riding area information is posted as a public service to our users and updated based on snow depth and snow density to prevent resource damage at trailhead locations. Riding area questions contact: email@example.com
|Area||Status||Weather & Riding Conditions|
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This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area. This advisory does not apply to highways, railroads or operating ski areas.