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ARCHIVED FORECAST - All forecasts expire after 24 hours from the posting date/time.
Issued
Mon, November 9th, 2015 - 7:00AM
Expires
Tue, November 10th, 2015 - 7:00AM
Forecaster
Wendy Wagner
Avalanche risk The Bottom Line

Update for Tuesday, November 10th, 2015:

If you are headed North to Hatcher Pass PLEASE see hatcherpassavalanchecenter.org. Hatcher Pass received upwards of 18″ of snow between Sunday night and Monday night. The avalanche danger is high in this region.

*Note: the Independence Mine snotel station was struck by lightning this summer and the data is suspect. The snow stake accessed from the F-CNFAIC Marmot weather station is working well.

Update for Monday, November 9th, 2015:

Our second winter storm for November moved through our region last night, Sunday Nov 8. Snowfall amounts were modest, but it’s snow! Ridgetop winds associated with the storm were strong, in the order of 25-30mph with gusts up to 50mph from the East. Both snowfall and wind have decreased dramatically this morning. Snowfall totals at mid elevations:

Turnagain Pass (2,000′):   5-6″
Girdwood Valley (1,700′):   6-7″
Summit Lake (1,400′):   3-5″
Glen Alps (2,000′):  3-4″
Hatcher Pass (3,400′):   4-5″

A reminder that we will be issuing intermittent updates for another couple weeks. Advisories with danger ratings will begin around Thanksgiving week.

If you are getting out in the mountains things to watch for are:

1)  Recent Avalanches
2)  Collapsing (“whoomphing”)
3)  Shooting cracks from your skis/board (often in areas with stiff wind drifted snow)
4)  Warming of the snow surface (by warm weather or sun)

All of the above indicate an unstable snowpack and the potential for a person to trigger an avalanche. Areas where avalanche potential has increased will be where more than 5-6″ of snow has fallen and/or where the wind has loaded slopes. Also, don’t be fooled by the thin snow cover as it does not take much snow to cause a dangerous slide.

LAST WEEKEND’S snow stability recap below:

Snow stability over the weekend was good at the usual haunts around Turnagain Pass (Tincan, Sunburst, Seattle Ridge). We had no reports of avalanche activity or unstable snow. However, other areas around Southcentral were not so fortunate:

*Two human triggered avalanches occurred OUTSIDE of our forecast zone last weekend:

Anchorage Front Range, Saturday:   Close call with a climber triggered avalanche on O’Malley Peak. This was a small(ish) avalanche with very high consequences as it ran over extremely steep terrain below. Photo of this slide below and see link for the report.

https://www.cnfaic.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/IMG_20151107_091720279_HDR-1024x576.jpg

Hatcher Pass, Friday:   Partial burial with a skier triggered slab avalanche on Hatch Peak. See link for a photo and additional Hatcher Pass information.

Special Announcements

Don’t forget to buy your tickets for the F-CNFAIC Fall FUNdraiser at the Bear Tooth – Thursday Nov 12th !! This event sells out fast – details HERE.

This year we have Greg Hill presenting: Mountain Lessons. Come journey with Greg Hill as he goes through his past adventures. The lessons learned in his successful 2 million feet in a year, the rules he honed to stay safe throughout that adventure. A near miss in the Himalayas, during the 2012 Manaslu disaster, and most recently a misadventure in Pakistan.

See you Thursday!

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Mon, November 9th, 2015
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Above 2,500'
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1,000'-2,500'
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Below Treeline
Below 1,000'
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Alpine
Above 2,500'
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1,000'-2,500'
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Below 1,000'
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Observations
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Riding Areas
Updated Tue, June 01st, 2021

Status of riding areas across the Chugach NF is managed by the Glacier and Seward Ranger Districts, not avalanche center staff. Riding area information is posted as a public service to our users and updated based on snow depth and snow density to prevent resource damage at trailhead locations. Riding area questions contact: mailroom_r10_chugach@fs.fed.us

Area Status Weather & Riding Conditions
Glacier District
Johnson Pass
Closed
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It is packrafting and jetboat season!
Skookum Drainage
Closed
The Skookum Valley is closed to snowmachines. This closure occurs annually on April 1 as per the CNF Forest Plan.
Turnagain Pass
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Closed as of June 1. 188 day season, that\'s a wrap!
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It is packrafting and jetboat season!
Seward District
Carter Lake
Closed
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Lost Lake Trail
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Closes May 1.
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Resurrection Pass Trail
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Closed for the 2020/21 winter season. Will be open for moto use in the 21/22\\\' winter season as per the CNF Forest plan.
Snug Harbor
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Closes May 16th.
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This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area. This advisory does not apply to highways, railroads or operating ski areas.