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Turnagain Pass Avalanche Forecast RSS

Archives
ARCHIVED FORECAST - All forecasts expire after 24 hours from the posting date/time.
Issued
Fri, December 20th, 2013 - 7:00AM
Expires
Sat, December 21st, 2013 - 7:00AM
Forecaster
John Fitzgerald
The Bottom Line

The general avalanche hazard is MODERATE today, with isolated areas of CONSIDERABLE hazard.   Steep wind loaded slopes in upper elevation starting zones will have the most reactive snow today.   It will be possible to find slabs up to 16 € in depth in these areas.   In the lower elevations it will also be possible to find shallow pockets of reactive slabs that are sitting on weak snow.

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Fri, December 20th, 2013
Alpine
Above 2,500'
Moderate (2)
Avalanche risk
Treeline
1,000'-2,500'
Moderate (2)
Avalanche risk
Below Treeline
Below 1,000'
Moderate (2)
Avalanche risk
Alpine
Above 2,500'
Avalanche risk
Moderate (2)
Treeline
1,000'-2,500'
Avalanche risk
Moderate (2)
Below Treeline
Below 1,000'
Avalanche risk
Moderate (2)
Danger Scale:
No Rating (0)
Low (1)
Moderate (2)
Considerable (3)
High (4)
Extreme (5)
Avalanche Problem 1
  • Persistent Slabs
    Persistent Slabs
Persistent Slabs
Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.
More info at Avalanche.org

Wind and snow that came as a result of a quick hitting storm on 12/18 have left stiff wind slabs in upper elevation starting zones.  Winds from this recent storm deposited slabs on generally West, Southwest and South facing slopes.  These slabs are “upside down” where the wind was most prevalent and are sitting on weak snow on top of a crust.  It has been 24 hours since this last storm abated.  As a result the snow will be less reactive today.  That does not mean that things have “healed”.  Given the general makeup of our snowpack, it will still be possible to trigger old wind slabs that are not well bonded to the underlying snow.

If you experience collapsing like we did yesterday, it will be worth scaling back your objectives and terrain choices.  Collapsing is one of three obvious signs of instability (the others are recent avalanches and shooting cracks).  When any one of these signs are present it is the snow telling you to “back off”.  Avoiding steep slopes with snow that sounds hollow or has a rounded, pillowy look to it will help in avoiding this problem today. 

Weather
Fri, December 20th, 2013

In the past 24 hours no new snow was reported.   Temperatures have risen overnight with increased cloud cover.   Ridge top temperatures are currently in the low 20s F.   Winds have been light out of the East and Southeast.

Today we can expect snow showers beginning in the morning and increasing late in the day into the overnight hours.   Accumulation of 1-2 € is possible by the end of the day.   Temperatures will continue a general upward trend and should remain in the mid to upper 20s F at ridge tops.   Winds will be light out of the Southwest.

A trough of low pressure in the Bering Sea will continue to send small shots of moisture in our direction into the weekend.   Continued light snow showers and rising temps are on tap for the next several days.

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Riding Areas
Updated Mon, October 26th, 2020

Status of riding areas across the Chugach NF is managed by the Glacier and Seward Ranger Districts, not avalanche center staff. Riding area information is posted as a public service to our users and updated based on snow depth and snow density to prevent resource damage at trailhead locations. Riding area questions contact: mailroom_r10_chugach@fs.fed.us

Area Status Weather & Riding Conditions
Glacier District
Johnson Pass
Closed
Placer River
Closed
Skookum Drainage
Closed
Turnagain Pass
Closed
Twentymile
Closed
Seward District
Carter Lake
Closed
Lost Lake Trail
Closed
Primrose Trail
Closed
Resurrection Pass Trail
Closed
Snug Harbor
Closed
South Fork Snow River Corridor
Closed
Summit Lake
Closed

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This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area. This advisory does not apply to highways, railroads or operating ski areas.