Turnagain Pass Avalanche Forecast
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Current snowpack conditions as we head into the latter part of November are thin – very thin. Few folks have made it south of Anchorage for snow recreation and are instead venturing north with the bigger early season snowfall. That will change……right…..it’s only November after all.
A snapshot of our snowpack both above treeline and below are seen in the photos below. The majority of the snow is very loose and unsupportable, except for areas that have seen recent wind.
Conditions above treeline:
Conditions below treeline:
With minimal snow cover on the ground in the Turnagain Pass area, we are still issuing intermittent updates. Full advisories, 4-5 days a week, will begin with the next good storm system – hopefully not too far away. Starting in early December we will be fully funded and staffed with the arrival of John Fitzgerald (aka “Fitz”) and 7 day a week forecasts will begin.
For anyone venturing into the Turnagain area mountains, wind slab avalanches are what to watch for. Despite the strong northwesterly winds during the last 24 hours, which did a number around Turnagain Arm, there is still plenty of loose snow available to blow around. This can be attested to by the lack of wind damage above 3300ft on Tincan today. The wind slabs I did see were at the mid elevations, very stiff and cracking just around my feet. However, they were sitting on faceted snow and though I didn’t find any in the few starting zones I was able to get to, I’d keep a look out for them. Winds are forecast to continue over the weekend from the north and northeast. Below is a picture of the mid elevation wind damage:
This past week most of Alaska’s wet weather has been just to our north. The temperatures did climb mid-week, up to 32F at 2,500′, but are on their way back down to the teens now. The last 24 hour winds have been moderate to strong from the northwest. These should continue to be moderate with strong gusts from the north and east for the next several days or more. This will do a good job of ushering in the cold temperatures that are on tap. Our next chance for snow is not in the foreseeable future.
The National Weather Service in Anchorage has done a great job at summing up the weather for next week:
Date | Region | Location | Observer |
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05/22/23 | Turnagain | Avalanche: Tincan | Nick D'Alessio |
05/12/23 | Turnagain | Avalanche: Tincan, Sunburst, Magnum, Cornbiscuit | Heather Thamm |
05/07/23 | Turnagain | Observation: Tincan – Bear Tracks | CNFAIC Staff |
05/05/23 | Turnagain | Observation: Seattle Ridge | AS/ WW Forecaster |
05/02/23 | Turnagain | Observation: Cornbiscuit | Schauer/ Sturgess Forecaster |
05/02/23 | Turnagain | Observation: Seward Hwy Turnagain Pass | Joel Curtis |
04/30/23 | Turnagain | Observation: Magnum | Ayla, Kit Crosby, Barton |
04/29/23 | Turnagain | Observation: Tincan | John Sykes |
04/28/23 | Turnagain | Avalanche: Taylor Pass/Pastoral | Schauer/ Creighton Forecaster |
04/28/23 | Turnagain | Avalanche: Tincan | Andy Moderow |
Status of riding areas across the Chugach NF is managed by the Glacier and Seward Ranger Districts, not avalanche center staff. Riding area information is posted as a public service to our users and updated based on snow depth and snow density to prevent resource damage at trailhead locations. Riding area questions contact: mailroom_r10_chugach@fs.fed.us
Area | Status | Weather & Riding Conditions |
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Glacier District |
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This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area. This advisory does not apply to highways, railroads or operating ski areas.