Turnagain Pass Avalanche Forecast RSS

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ARCHIVED FORECAST - All forecasts expire after 24 hours from the posting date/time.
Issued
Sun, November 17th, 2013 - 7:00AM
Expires
Mon, November 18th, 2013 - 7:00AM
Forecaster
Wendy Wagner
Avalanche risk The Bottom Line

Current snowpack conditions as we head into the latter part of November are thin – very thin. Few folks have made it south of Anchorage for snow recreation and are instead venturing north with the bigger early season snowfall. That will change……right…..it’s only November after all.

A snapshot of our snowpack both above treeline and below are seen in the photos below. The majority of the snow is very loose and unsupportable, except for areas that have seen recent wind.  

Conditions above treeline:

Conditions below treeline:

Special Announcements

With minimal snow cover on the ground in the Turnagain Pass area, we are still issuing intermittent updates. Full advisories, 4-5 days a week, will begin with the next good storm system – hopefully not too far away. Starting in early December we will be fully funded and staffed with the arrival of John Fitzgerald (aka “Fitz”) and  7 day a week forecasts will begin.

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Sun, November 17th, 2013
Alpine
Above 2,500'
No Rating (0)
Avalanche risk
Treeline
1,000'-2,500'
No Rating (0)
Avalanche risk
Below Treeline
Below 1,000'
No Rating (0)
Avalanche risk
Alpine
Above 2,500'
Avalanche risk
No Rating (0)
Treeline
1,000'-2,500'
Avalanche risk
No Rating (0)
Below Treeline
Below 1,000'
Avalanche risk
No Rating (0)
Danger Scale:
No Rating (0)
Low (1)
Moderate (2)
Considerable (3)
High (4)
Extreme (5)
Avalanche Problem 1
  • Wind Slabs
    Wind Slabs
Wind Slabs
Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.
More info at Avalanche.org

For anyone venturing into the Turnagain area mountains, wind slab avalanches are what to watch for. Despite the strong northwesterly winds during the last 24 hours, which did a number around Turnagain Arm, there is still plenty of loose snow available to blow around. This can be attested to by the lack of wind damage above 3300ft on Tincan today. The wind slabs I did see were at the mid elevations, very stiff and cracking just around my feet. However, they were sitting on faceted snow and though I didn’t find any in the few starting zones I was able to get to, I’d keep a look out for them. Winds are forecast to continue over the weekend from the north and northeast. Below is a picture of the mid elevation wind damage:

Weather
Sun, November 17th, 2013

This past week most of Alaska’s wet weather has been just to our north. The temperatures did climb mid-week, up to 32F at 2,500′, but are on their way back down to the teens now. The last 24 hour winds have been moderate to strong from the northwest. These should continue to be moderate with strong gusts from the north and east for the next several days or more. This will do a good job of ushering in the cold temperatures that are on tap. Our next chance for snow is not in the foreseeable future.

The National Weather Service in Anchorage has done a great job at summing up the weather for next week:

 

Observations
Recent Observations for Turnagain Pass
Date Region Location
05/22/23 Turnagain Avalanche: Tincan
05/12/23 Turnagain Avalanche: Tincan, Sunburst, Magnum, Cornbiscuit
05/07/23 Turnagain Observation: Tincan – Bear Tracks
05/05/23 Turnagain Observation: Seattle Ridge
05/02/23 Turnagain Observation: Cornbiscuit
05/02/23 Turnagain Observation: Seward Hwy Turnagain Pass
04/30/23 Turnagain Observation: Magnum
04/29/23 Turnagain Observation: Tincan
04/28/23 Turnagain Avalanche: Taylor Pass/Pastoral
04/28/23 Turnagain Avalanche: Tincan
Riding Areas
Updated Sat, September 23rd, 2023

Status of riding areas across the Chugach NF is managed by the Glacier and Seward Ranger Districts, not avalanche center staff. Riding area information is posted as a public service to our users and updated based on snow depth and snow density to prevent resource damage at trailhead locations. Riding area questions contact: mailroom_r10_chugach@fs.fed.us

Area Status Weather & Riding Conditions
Glacier District
Johnson Pass
Closed
Scheduled opening per Chugach National Forest plan December 1. Subject to adequate snow cover.
Placer River
Closed
Scheduled opening per Chugach National Forest plan December 1. Subject to adequate snow cover.
Skookum Drainage
Closed
Scheduled opening per Chugach National Forest plan December 1. Subject to adequate snow cover.
Turnagain Pass
Closed
Scheduled opening on the Wednesday before Thanksgiving per Chugach National Forest plan. Subject to adequate snow cover.
Twentymile
Closed
Scheduled opening per Chugach National Forest plan December 1. Subject to adequate snow cover.
Seward District
Carter Lake
Closed
Scheduled opening per Chugach National Forest plan December 1. Subject to adequate snow cover.
Lost Lake Trail
Closed
Scheduled opening per Chugach National Forest plan December 1. Subject to adequate snow cover.
Primrose Trail
Closed
Scheduled opening per Chugach National Forest plan December 1. Subject to adequate snow cover.
Resurrection Pass Trail
Closed
Scheduled opening per Chugach National Forest plan December 1. Subject to adequate snow cover.
Snug Harbor
Closed
Scheduled opening per Chugach National Forest plan December 1. Subject to adequate snow cover.
South Fork Snow River Corridor
Closed
Scheduled opening per Chugach National Forest plan December 1. Subject to adequate snow cover.
Summit Lake
Closed
Scheduled opening per Chugach National Forest plan December 1. Subject to adequate snow cover.

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This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area. This advisory does not apply to highways, railroads or operating ski areas.