|Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.
|Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.
|Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding, and conservative decision-making essential.
|Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.
|Extraordinarily dangerous avalanche conditions. Avoid all avalanche terrain.
|Likelihood of Avalanches
|Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.
|Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.
|Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.
|Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.
|Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.
|Avalanche Size and Distribution
|Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.
|Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.
|Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.
|Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.
|Very large avalanches in many areas.
Despite the light winds the past couple days, shallow and very sensitive slabs have been able to form in scattered areas along ridgelines (shown in the photo below). This is mainly due to the weekend’s snow being so light and easy to transport. They didn’t pack much punch yesterday but a bump in wind overnight with plenty of low density snow available for transport will likely have continued wind slab development. Watch for these to be 6-10″ thick and on a variety of aspects – winds have been blowing from various directions due to our region being in the heart of a low pressure system. Keeping an eye on the snow texture as well as for shooting cracks from your skies/board or sled will be key.
Loose snow avalanches are expected to be prevalent again today. These are both in the dry snow category and the wet/damp snow category (pending clear skies):
Dry snow: The very cold overnight temperatures will add to the looseness of the surface snow (and to the good riding/skiing conditions). This should keep dry sluffs something to plan for on steep slopes.
Wet/damp snow: If the skies remain clear today, the sun should have ample time to warm southerly aspects. Watch for dampening of the snow surface to turn a small low volume dry sluff into a larger heavier damp sluff. Shallow slabs are also possible with daytime warming on southerly aspects. These sluffs and slabs have the potential to release naturally if we do get intense sunshine today.
Under mostly clear skies this morning, temperatures have plummeted to the single and minus single digits. Winds have remained light from the north and west with a slight bump overnight to the 15-20 mph range. Yesterday, mostly cloudy skies limited much daytime heating and 24-hour average temperature at the Sunburst wx station was +1F while winds averaged 4mph with gusts to 16.
Today, a few clouds are likely to stream through but the sun should have time to warm things up a bit. Temperatures should reach the mid 20’sF at sea level up to treeline and the low teens on the ridgetops. Winds will be light and slowly backing to the SE where they look to pick up tonight to the 15mph range.
Beautiful spring weather consisting of sunny days, cold nights and light to moderate northerly winds are on tap for the remainder of the week and into the weekend.
Kevin will issue the next advisory tomorrow, April 12th.
|Observation: TinCan Backdoor/ Center Ridge
|AAS L1 Turnagain
|Avalanche: Lynx Creek
|Observation: Turnagain, Seattle, Mt Ascension
|Silverton Mountain Guides
|Observation: Tincan Trees
|Dalpes/Thamm/ Schauer Forecaster
|Observation: Seward Highway across from Johnson Pass TH
|Avalanche: Base of Seattle Ridge
|Troy Tempel, Thomas Lees, .Josh Bollaert, Damian Naquin
|Observation: Lynx creek
|Observation: Tincan Trees
|Moderow / Clayton