Turnagain Pass Avalanche Forecast RSS

Archives
ARCHIVED FORECAST - All forecasts expire after 24 hours from the posting date/time.
Issued
Wed, March 9th, 2011 - 7:00AM
Expires
Thu, March 10th, 2011 - 7:00AM
Forecaster
Jon Gellings
Avalanche risk The Bottom Line

Good morning backcountry travelers. This is Jon Gellings with the Chugach National Forest Avalanche Information Center on Wednesday, March 9th at 7am. This will serve as a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area (this advisory does not apply to highways, railroads, or operating ski areas).

BOTTOM LINE

The avalanche danger continues to be LOW with pockets of MODERATE. Any triggered avalanche has the possibility of stepping down into older weak layers, creating a larger slide. Hard wind slabs which get triggered have the potential of fracturing down to these layers, and are most suspected on steep rollovers on wind loaded slopes and near rocky outcroppings and gullies. A slight chance remains than any sun-triggered sluffs happening on South aspects could also break down into the deeper weak layers.

AVALANCHE DISCUSSION

Ridgelines yesterday had light breezes, which helped keep the snow surface cool. Further down on Southern slopes was a different story however, with pockets of soft snow turning into knee-high wet snow, especially below 2500 ft. People are able to trigger point releases in this warm surface snow, as evidenced by Wendy’s “push-a-lanche” below.

Places where natural point releases could start include near steep rocky outcroppings, convex rollovers, and places where trees stick up through the snow.

On non-sun-affected slopes, surface hoar is growing as well, ranging from 1-2cm down low to 2mm in upper elevations. Surface hoar and sun crusts on the surface could make for an interesting avalanche cycle when we get some new snow.

Our current stability concerns remain the same, where a shallow snowpack on a steep slope is where a person could possibly trigger a slab avalanche. The biggest concern we have right now would be triggering an avalanche which breaks into the older weak snow near early season crusts. Looking at these faceted snow grains is easier in scoured spots, because they are closer to the surface. This poorly structured snowpack is most predominant in areas and regions with a shallow snow depth, and is not expected to leave our area until a major jolt to the snowpack occurs. Unfortunately, since today is likely not that day, we can not write these instabilities off.

Encyclopedia of avalanche terms.

WEATHER ROUNDUP

Winds are not expected to become strong enough to blow snow around. Temperatures are forecasted to get back into the 30s. There is no new precipitation being forecasted for today.

Kevin will issue the next advisory tomorrow morning at 7am. If you get out in the backcountry give us a call at 754-2369 or send us your observations using the button at the top of this page. Thanks and have a great day.

The NWS weather forecast for:

WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-

INCLUDING…WHITTIER…SEWARD…GIRDWOOD…MOOSE PASS

500 AM AKST WED MAR 9 2011

.TODAY…SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS EXCEPT NORTH 10 TO

15 MPH NEAR SEWARD.

.TONIGHT…CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 25 ABOVE…COOLEST INLAND. LIGHT

WINDS EXCEPT NORTH 10 MPH NEAR SEWARD.

.THURSDAY…SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS

EXCEPT NORTH 10 MPH NEAR SEWARD.

TEMPERATURE / PRECIPITATION

SEWARD 39 20 34 / 0 0 0

GIRDWOOD 34 16 31 / 0 0 0

WEATHER STATION SUMMARY for Turnagain Pass:

-3800′ Sunburst Wx Station-

Temperature 18 degrees. NE wind 17mph gusting to 26mph.

-2600′ Seattle Ridge Wx Station-

Temperature 21 degrees. SE wind 11mph gusting to 15mph.

-1800′ Center Ridge Wx Station-

Temperature 21 degrees. No new snow.

Thanks to our sponsors!
Wed, March 9th, 2011
Alpine
Above 2,500'
Low (1)
Avalanche risk
Treeline
1,000'-2,500'
Low (1)
Avalanche risk
Below Treeline
Below 1,000'
Low (1)
Avalanche risk
Alpine
Above 2,500'
Avalanche risk
Low (1)
Treeline
1,000'-2,500'
Avalanche risk
Low (1)
Below Treeline
Below 1,000'
Avalanche risk
Low (1)
Danger Scale:
No Rating (0)
Low (1)
Moderate (2)
Considerable (3)
High (4)
Extreme (5)
Observations
Recent Observations for Turnagain Pass
Date Region Location
05/21/22 Turnagain Avalanche: Magnum, Lipps and Tincan
05/17/22 Turnagain Avalanche: Sunburst
05/17/22 Turnagain Observation: Tincan Ridge
05/11/22 Turnagain Avalanche: Cornbiscuit and Magnum west faces
05/07/22 Turnagain Observation: Granddaddy
04/29/22 Turnagain Observation: Sunburst wx station
04/28/22 Turnagain Observation: More Turnagain Pass/Summit Lake wet slab activity
04/27/22 Turnagain Observation: Magnum
04/27/22 Turnagain Observation: Girdwood/Summit/Turnagain Road obs
04/24/22 Turnagain Avalanche: Seattle Ridge – large glide avalanche on Repeat Offender path
Riding Areas
Updated Fri, May 13th, 2022

Status of riding areas across the Chugach NF is managed by the Glacier and Seward Ranger Districts, not avalanche center staff. Riding area information is posted as a public service to our users and updated based on snow depth and snow density to prevent resource damage at trailhead locations. Riding area questions contact: mailroom_r10_chugach@fs.fed.us

Area Status Weather & Riding Conditions
Glacier District
Johnson Pass
Closed
Closed as of May 1 per Forest Plan.
Placer River
Closed
Closed as of April 25th due to insufficient snow coverage.
Skookum Drainage
Closed
Closed as of April 1st per Forest Plan.
Turnagain Pass
Open
Open. Extended opening through May 31.
Twentymile
Closed
Closed as of April 6th due to insufficient snow coverage.
Seward District
Carter Lake
Closed
Closed as of May 1 per Forest Plan.
Lost Lake Trail
Closed
Closed as of May 1 per Forest Plan.
Primrose Trail
Closed
Closed as of May 1 per Forest Plan.
Resurrection Pass Trail
Closed
Closed as of May 1 per Forest Plan.
Snug Harbor
Closed
Closed as of May 1 per Forest Plan.
South Fork Snow River Corridor
Closed
Closed as of May 1 per Forest Plan.
Summit Lake
Closed
Closed as of May 1 per Forest Plan.

Subscribe to Turnagain Pass
Avalanche Forecast by Email

This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area. This advisory does not apply to highways, railroads or operating ski areas.