Turnagain Pass
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The potential for mid-elevation glide avalanches is keeping the avalanche danger at CONSIDERABLE today. These are most pronounced at 3,000′ and below. Many popular slopes are harboring dark brown glide cracks that have potential to release day or night. Cautious route finding and careful terrain evaluation is essential to avoid being under the run out of glide cracks!
The avalanche danger is LOW in the alpine where a stout and supportable surface crust sits under 2-4 € of wet snow from yesterday.
*As glide avalanches continue to release, summer use trails with avalanche terrain above should be avoided. The Byron Glacier trail in Portage Valley is not recommended and the Turnagain Arm Trail between Bird and Girdwood, remains CLOSED.
FREE rescue clinics and general avalanche information for those headed to Arctic Man this week. Click HERE for more information. The snowpack has been reported to be very unstable in the Hoodoos with many human triggered avalanches over the weekend. Please be on your guard and don’t forget your beacon, shovel and probe.
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Travel Advice | Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features. | Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern. | Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding, and conservative decision-making essential. | Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended. | Extraordinarily dangerous avalanche conditions. Avoid all avalanche terrain. |
Likelihood of Avalanches | Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely. | Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible. | Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely. | Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely. | Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain. |
Avalanche Size and Distribution | Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain. | Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas. | Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas. | Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas. | Very large avalanches in many areas. |
Glide avalanches continue to steal the limelight and for good reason as it only takes a short drive through Turnagain Pass to witness first-hand the quantity of glide avalanches and sheer destruction that these can bring. It is important to stay well away from existing cracks and limit your exposure time to glide avalanche run out zones. We’ve been saying it for a while but to get caught up in a glide avalanche will undoubtedly prove fatal.
A very large glide crack has been slowly opening and creeping toward the common snowmachine up-track on Seattle ridge. If venturing toward the back bowls today, travel fast in order to limit your time spent exposed to this growing glide crack.
Wet loose avalanches: 2-4” inches of wet snow yesterday fell on a supportable crust above about 2,000’. We can expect up to another 2-4” today. Stubborn, shallow wet-loose avalanches may be possible in very steep alpine terrain but these shouldn’t prove much of an issue for skiers or snowmachiners today.
Keep in mind that LOW danger does not mean NO danger. Aside from glide avalanches, we haven’t seen much wet slab activity yet but it is getting to be that time of year where wet slabs become a concern with shallow overnight freezes and warm daytime temperatures.
Cornices: We are still waiting for the Alpine to warm up enough to start seeing a natural cornice fall cycle. We do know that cornices are close enough to failure that skiers or snowmachiners can influence a failure by travelling on a corniced ridge and the potential for a human-trigger is a very real concern. Remember these have a tendency to break much further back than one might expect.
Wind slabs: Winds picked up enough overnight that high in the alpine (where dry snow exists) shallow wind slabs likely exist in leeward terrain. These are not likely to be deep or large, but could prove tricky in extreme terrain.
Yesterday was mostly cloudy with light winds from the east. Temperatures averaged 29 degrees during the day on Sunburst (3,880′) with 2-4 € of new snow falling above about 2,000′ and light rain below. Overnight, it looks like there was another shallow freeze between 2,000′ – 4,000′.
The forecast today calls for partly to mostly cloudy skies again with rain/ snow showers throughout the day. We may see 2-4 € of new snow above about 2,000′ and light rain below. Temperatures will be in the low 40’s at 1,000′ and low 30’s to high 20’s around ridgetop locations. Winds will be primarily from the East in the 15 €“ 35mph range.
Tomorrow and into Friday may bring us a brief break from this showery regime before returning to unsettled weather over the weekend.
Temp Avg (F) | Snow (in) | Water (in) | Snow Depth (in) | |
Center Ridge (1880′) | 37 | 0 | .1 | 117 |
Summit Lake (1400′) | 38 | 0 | 0 | 36 |
Alyeska Mid (1700′) | 35 | trace/ rain | .14 | 103 |
Temp Avg (F) | Wind Dir | Wind Avg (mph) | Wind Gust (mph) | |
Sunburst (3812′) | 28 | E | 11 | 38 |
Seattle Ridge (2400′) | 29 | SE | 15 | 28 |
Date | Region | Location | Observer |
---|---|---|---|
10/27/24 | Turnagain | Observation: Tincan | Michael Kerst |
10/21/24 | Turnagain | Observation: Turnagain Pass Road Observation | Trevor Clayton |
10/19/24 | Turnagain | Observation: Tincan – Below Todds Run | Andy Moderow |
10/18/24 | Turnagain | Observation: Taylor Pass | Eli Neuffer |
10/15/24 | Turnagain | Observation: Tincan Common | John Sykes Forecaster |
10/14/24 | Turnagain | Avalanche: Tincan | CNFAC Staff |
05/13/24 | Turnagain | Observation: Eddie’s, Sunburst, Seattle, Cornbiscuit, Pete’s South | H Thamm |
05/13/24 | Turnagain | Observation: Turnagain Pass non-motorized side | Amy Holman |
05/12/24 | Turnagain | Observation: Warm up Bowl | Tony Naciuk |
05/07/24 | Turnagain | Observation: Turnagain Pass Wet Slabs | A S |
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