Turnagain Pass Avalanche Forecast
The danger is MODERATE on steep slopes in the Alpine. Fresh wind slabs 8-12 € thick could be triggered on leeward slopes approaching 40 º. North facing slopes are also suspect and have dense slabs 2-3′ thick that could be triggered by skiers and riders.
The danger is LOW at Treeline where avalanches are unlikely.
Winds will move around the 3-6” of loose snow that is currently sitting in the higher elevations. Slabs will build as thick as 1 foot on leeward slopes in the Alpine. With more snow available for transport in the Girdwood Valley expect slabs to be thicker there than on Turnagain Pass. Another 2+” of snow falling today will help to slightly increase the size of wind slabs. These slabs will be most sensitive as they are forming. Be on the lookout for snow that is stiff, feels upside down or produces shooting cracks. These slabs will exist in small pockets and will become more of an issue if triggered above terrain traps or on large steep (>40º) slopes.
Steep north facing slopes in the Alpine have a setup that hold the potential for large avalanches 2-3’ deep to release under the weight of a person or group. This concern reared its ugly head last week and has since quieted down. Despite the lack of activity on these deeper layers over the weekend, it is still worth keeping in mind that there exist pockets of dense slab sitting on layers of weak faceted snow. If you find yourself in steep North facing terrain make sure you take precautions to minimize your exposure – travel one at a time, identify escape routes and communicate your decisions and plans well within your group.
If visibility improves enough for travel in the Alpine, expect terrain sheltered from the wind to have enough loose surface snow to produce low to medium volume sluffs. This will be a minor issue, but like wind slabs will become more serious when travelling above terrain traps such as cliffs, gullies and trees.
Over the past 24 hours temps have remained mild with averages in the mid 20s F at ridgetops and low 40s F at sea level. Precipitation in the form of snow fell yesterday morning with Girdwood Valley receiving 3 € and Turnagain Pass picking up just a trace. Winds were generally light but have picked up into the 20 mph range this morning at ridgetop level.
Today a mix of snow and rain will fall as a large and broad low pressure system moves in from the Bering Sea. Accumulation will be light during the day with up to 2 € expected. Rain/snow line will be around 1,500′. Ridgetop winds will be moderate, in the 15-25 mph range out of the East. Temps will climb into the low 30s F at ridgetops.
The system responsible for stormy weather today will pick up in intensity tonight and into tomorrow. Snow accumulation will be in the 8-10 € range in the higher elevations by tomorrow morning.
Looking further out we can expect a continuation of unsettled weather through the middle part of the week with generally light precipitation through Wednesday.
|Temp Avg (F)||Snow (in)||Water (in)||Snow Depth (in)|
|Center Ridge (1880′)||33||trace||0||58|
|Summit Lake (1400′)||34||0||0||10|
|Alyeska Mid (1700′)||33||3||.25||33|
|Temp Avg (F)||Wind Dir||Wind Avg (mph)||Wind Gust (mph)|
|Seattle Ridge (2400′)||25||n/a||17||39|
|05/22/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan||Nick D'Alessio|
|05/12/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan, Sunburst, Magnum, Cornbiscuit||Heather Thamm|
|05/07/23||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan – Bear Tracks||CNFAIC Staff|
|05/05/23||Turnagain||Observation: Seattle Ridge||AS/ WW Forecaster|
|05/02/23||Turnagain||Observation: Cornbiscuit||Schauer/ Sturgess Forecaster|
|05/02/23||Turnagain||Observation: Seward Hwy Turnagain Pass||Joel Curtis|
|04/30/23||Turnagain||Observation: Magnum||Ayla, Kit Crosby, Barton|
|04/29/23||Turnagain||Observation: Tincan||John Sykes|
|04/28/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Taylor Pass/Pastoral||Schauer/ Creighton Forecaster|
|04/28/23||Turnagain||Avalanche: Tincan||Andy Moderow|
Status of riding areas across the Chugach NF is managed by the Glacier and Seward Ranger Districts, not avalanche center staff. Riding area information is posted as a public service to our users and updated based on snow depth and snow density to prevent resource damage at trailhead locations. Riding area questions contact: firstname.lastname@example.org
|Area||Status||Weather & Riding Conditions|
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This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area. This advisory does not apply to highways, railroads or operating ski areas.