Turnagain Pass Avalanche Forecast
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The SE winds that kicked up yesterday combined with a few inches of snow on tap for today will peg the avalanche danger at MODERATE above treeline where tender wind slabs will be found in the 12-18 € range. A secondary concern and something to be mindful of as spring grips our region are the looming cornices that have grown heavy and ominous. Below treeline the danger is LOW where snow coverage is thin.
Today will conclude 7 day per week forecasting for the 2013/14 season. Updates will be 5-days/ week through the end of April. Please continue to follow the website and submit your snowpack and avalanche observations as we transition toward a summer snowpack.
We were able to eek out a few solid days of blue-sky powder skiing (on northerly aspects) before the grey-bird conditions set in yesterday bringing with it moderate winds from the SE. Winds yesterday began to build shallow wind slabs in the upper elevations where about 6” of loose, unconsolidated snow was available for transport on north aspects.
SE winds in the 40-55 mph range and 1-5” of new snow forecasted for today will conspire to manufacture tender wind slabs across the advisory area. Expect bonding to be a mixed bag from ‘stuck-on-like-glue’ to ‘hair-trigger’ given the huge variety of surface conditions that this storm is coming in on. Any moving snow today should be fairly shallow, relegated to the upper-most layer of new wind deposited snow and likely less of a concern for snowmachiners. For skiers, quick hand pits and test slopes today should aid in your decision-making process before committing to any big terrain.
A bit of fresh snow and substantial wind transport will conspire to push looming cornices ever closer to failure. Without ever really knowing when a cornice may fail it still holds true to simply avoid exposure to these ticking snow-bombs. This observation (and photo) sent in last spring serves as a good reminder that spring in the Chugach is cornice season!
Moderate winds and clouds yesterday dominated the weather across the forecast area with little to no precipitation during the daylight hours.
Grey skies and warmer air will persist as moderate SE winds ramp up throughout the day. We should see scattered and light precipitation in the form of light rain at sea level and 1-5 € of new snow above 1100′. Temps at 1000′ will be in the range of 31-40 degrees today. Freezing levels drop to around 700′ at night as moisture tapers off.
Date | Region | Location | Observer |
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05/22/23 | Turnagain | Avalanche: Tincan | Nick D'Alessio |
05/12/23 | Turnagain | Avalanche: Tincan, Sunburst, Magnum, Cornbiscuit | Heather Thamm |
05/07/23 | Turnagain | Observation: Tincan – Bear Tracks | CNFAIC Staff |
05/05/23 | Turnagain | Observation: Seattle Ridge | AS/ WW Forecaster |
05/02/23 | Turnagain | Observation: Cornbiscuit | Schauer/ Sturgess Forecaster |
05/02/23 | Turnagain | Observation: Seward Hwy Turnagain Pass | Joel Curtis |
04/30/23 | Turnagain | Observation: Magnum | Ayla, Kit Crosby, Barton |
04/29/23 | Turnagain | Observation: Tincan | John Sykes |
04/28/23 | Turnagain | Avalanche: Taylor Pass/Pastoral | Schauer/ Creighton Forecaster |
04/28/23 | Turnagain | Avalanche: Tincan | Andy Moderow |
Status of riding areas across the Chugach NF is managed by the Glacier and Seward Ranger Districts, not avalanche center staff. Riding area information is posted as a public service to our users and updated based on snow depth and snow density to prevent resource damage at trailhead locations. Riding area questions contact: mailroom_r10_chugach@fs.fed.us
Area | Status | Weather & Riding Conditions |
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Glacier District |
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This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area. This advisory does not apply to highways, railroads or operating ski areas.