Turnagain Pass |
Archives |
The avalanche danger is MODERATE above 1000′. Wind slab avalanches 1-2′ deep could be human triggered at upper elevations, especially in steep terrain. Glide avalanches have been releasing at an alarming rate over the past week and the widespread distribution of glide cracks in popular areas is concerning. These avalanches release spontaneously and are very large and destructive. Avoiding spending time underneath glide cracks is the only way to mitigate the risk.
Below 1000′ the avalanche danger is LOW.
Become a Member in December! The Friends of the Chugach Avalanche Center, our non-profit arm, needs your help to keep our avalanche center running. Note, everyone who donates will be entered to win some awesome prizes at Andrew’s Girdwood Brewery Forecaster Chat on January 19!
Sat, December 30th, 2023 |
Travel Advice | Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features. | Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern. | Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding, and conservative decision-making essential. | Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended. | Extraordinarily dangerous avalanche conditions. Avoid all avalanche terrain. |
Likelihood of Avalanches | Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely. | Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible. | Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely. | Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely. | Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain. |
Avalanche Size and Distribution | Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain. | Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas. | Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas. | Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas. | Very large avalanches in many areas. |
Signal Word | Size (D scale) | Simple Descriptor |
Small | 1 | Unlikely to bury a person |
Large | 2 | Can bury a person |
Very Large | 3 | Can destroy a house |
Historic | 4 & 5 | Can destroy part or all of a village |
Today promises to bring another day of cold and clear weather with very light winds. Yesterday, we observed some active wind transport on higher elevation ridgelines which could form small wind slabs 1-2′ deep in exposed areas. These fresh wind slabs are mixed in with widespread wind affected snow along upper elevation ridgelines from the stormy weather over the weekend, which could make them difficult to identify. Keep an eye out for shooting cracks in small pockets of wind transported snow that could be sensitive to the weight of a skier or rider. These avalanches are probably too small to bury a person but could easily knock you off balance in steep terrain.
Prior to the storm last weekend there was a widespread layer of surface hoar on the surface that we have been searching for in the snowpack because of the potential to cause avalanches at the storm snow interface, which is roughly 2′ deep. So far our field observations have not turned up any concerning results at this interface, but it is worth keeping in mind if you are venturing into new terrain today. Surface hoar can be difficult to identify visually in a snow pit, but tends to reveal itself if you use a compression test or extended column test to check the stability of the snowpack in the area you are travelling.
Dry loose avalanches are very likely in steep wind sheltered terrain. We recommend making a plan to manage your sluff if you are travelling in steep and complex terrain.
Wind affected snow surfaces along upper elevation ridgelines could produce a surprise avalanche in steep terrain. Photo 12.28.2023
Signal Word | Size (D scale) | Simple Descriptor |
Small | 1 | Unlikely to bury a person |
Large | 2 | Can bury a person |
Very Large | 3 | Can destroy a house |
Historic | 4 & 5 | Can destroy part or all of a village |
Over the past week or 10 days there has been a notable spike in the number of glide avalanche releases across the region. This type of avalanche is not well understood. All we really know is that they can spontaneously release under any conditions and when they release they take the entire snowpack and are highly destructive. The glide avalanche on Cornbiscuit on Wednesday was roughly 5-6′ deep and ran almost all the way to Bertha Creek. The short story is that you definitely do not want to mess with this type of avalanche and we strongly recommend giving glide cracks a wide berth and minimizing the amount of time you spend underneath them. Take a careful look at the slopes above you and consider setting a new skin track or riding off the beaten path if you can find a way to avoid travelling underneath glide cracks.
It was sobering to peer into this recent glide release and see the destruction it caused in the runout zone. Photo 12.28.2023
The facets over the Thanksgiving crust are still lingering 4-6′ deep in the snowpack. The lack of recent avalanche activity on this layer despite many storm systems adding stress over the past few weeks is a good indicator that the layer is dormant, but we are continuing to monitor it due to the history of crusts producing very large avalanches in our region. It is possible that layers like this can re-activate later in the season if the snowpack structure becomes weaker or if melt water pools on top of the crust. Hopefully continued snowfall will bury this crust so deeply that we can soon remove it from the forecast.
Yesterday: Clear skies and cold temperatures in the low teens to single digits, with a temperature inversion causing colder temperatures near the valley bottoms. Valley fog was hanging out around 1000-1500′. Winds were light averaging 0-5 mph out of the NW with gusts up to 20 mph at upper elevations.
Today: Another clear and cold day is on tap with temperatures ranging from negative to positive single digits, colder at lower elevations. Winds are expected to remain light at 0-5 mph.
Tomorrow: Cloud cover is expected to increase on Saturday as a storm approaches the forecast area in the evening. Winds are expected to remain light at 0-10 mph, but shift to the south. Light snowfall is possible during the day Saturday, but no significant accumulation is expected.
PRECIPITATION 24-hour data (6am – 6am)
Temp Avg (F) | Snow (in) | Water (in) | Snow Depth (in) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Center Ridge (1880′) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 77 |
Summit Lake (1400′) | -10 | 0 | 0 | – |
Alyeska Mid (1700′) | 7 | trace | 0.02 | 70 |
Bear Valley – Portage (132′) | 4 | 0 | 0 | – |
RIDGETOP 24-hour data (6am – 6am)
Temp Avg (F) | Wind Dir | Wind Avg (mph) | Wind Gust (mph) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Sunburst (3812′) | 9 | W | 6 | 20 |
Seattle Ridge (2400′) | 8 | N | 1 | 7 |
Date | Region | Location | Observer |
---|---|---|---|
05/13/24 | Turnagain | Observation: Eddie’s, Sunburst, Seattle, Cornbiscuit, Pete’s South | H Thamm |
05/13/24 | Turnagain | Observation: Turnagain Pass non-motorized side | Amy Holman |
05/12/24 | Turnagain | Observation: Warm up Bowl | Tony Naciuk |
05/07/24 | Turnagain | Observation: Turnagain Pass Wet Slabs | A S |
04/29/24 | Turnagain | Avalanche: Turnagain aerial obs | Tully Hamer |
04/27/24 | Turnagain | Observation: Johnson Pass | Noah Mery |
04/23/24 | Turnagain | Observation: Turnagain Sunny Side | Travis SMITH |
04/21/24 | Turnagain | Observation: Bertha Creek | Anonymous |
04/20/24 | Turnagain | Avalanche: Spokane Creek | Schauer/ Mailly Forecaster |
04/16/24 | Turnagain | Observation: Cornbiscuit | Krueger / Matthys Forecaster |
The riding areas page has moved. Please click here & update your bookmarks.
Subscribe to Turnagain Pass
Avalanche Forecast by Email