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Frigidly cold temperatures are forecast over the weekend, and although triggering an avalanche is unlikely, glide avalanches are still our main concern. Glide cracks resembling “brown frowns” can release spontaneously as glide avalanches, which can be large and destructive. It is best to avoid traveling under these cracks. If there is not an alternative route, limit time under them by traveling efficiently and one at a time.
The Moose Pass Winter Rendezvous is TOMMORROW Jan 27th! Forecaster Daniel Krueger will be there from 10-1pm introducing himself to the public, spreading the word about our weekend outlook in the Summit and Seward areas as well as answering any questions you have! There will be activities, food and live music as well. You can find more information about the event here!
Peninsula Powersports in Soldotna will be hosting us on Feb 8, 5-6pm. Similar to Moose Pass, this will be an opportunity for us to introduce ourselves, the weekend outlook for Summit and Seward as well as answer any questions you have.
Snowmachine access in the Kenai Mountains: Here is a map showing snowmachine access in Summit Pass. This is a great tool to better understand and travel in areas open to snowmachining. You can also download it to your phone to use in the field.
Recent Avalanches: The last known avalanche in the Summit area was a glide avalanche on Fresno Mtn on Jan 20. Glide avalanches were also seen last weekend on Fresno Mtn, Gilpatrick South and Summit Peak.
Weather Recap: Last weekend clouds moved in on Sunday and a trace of snow fell in Summit Pass. Otherwise, a high pressure has been bringing cold temperatures and clear skies throughout the week. Winds have been light from the north along ridgetops. Temperatures were frigid with Summit Lake reporting -20 F! An inversion has been keeping temperatures at higher elevations a little more pleasant, in the mid-teens.
Weather Forecast: Some clouds should move in over the weekend possibly bringing a trace of snow on Sunday evening. Winds are forecast to be light, 0-5 mph, with the possibility of 10 mph near ridges. These winds will shift from the west on Saturday to the north on Sunday. Unfortunately, temperatures are expected to stay below zero F with Saturday having a low of -10 F and Sunday a low of -15 F.
There is a possibility a storm may arrive on Sunday evening and extend through Monday that may bring snow to the Kenai Peninsula. If this storm verifies, we may receive as much as a foot of new snow or more in the Summit area.
Glide avalanches releasing on Summit Peaks east face. Photo by Hannah Smith 1.20.2024
Glide cracks continue to open and release in the Summit area creating large avalanches. Last weekend a new glide crack opened on Fresno Mtn, likely on 1.20, that is close to where people commonly ski. These avalanches have typically been located mid-slope and can send debris to lower elevations. Because these glide cracks can release spontaneously, it is safer to navigate around them as you travel in the backcountry. If you have to travel below them, limit exposure by traveling one at a time or spacing out and moving as efficiently as possible.
Fresno Mtn with numerous glide cracks and avalanches. The glide crack on the left opened around Jan. 20 and is close to where people ski down. 1.21.2024
Facets above and below the Thanksgiving crust and weak facets buried at the ground are two layers we are keeping our eye on. In the past several weeks there have been no known avalanches on these weak layers. Areas that we are watching include higher elevations and shallower snowpacks. These layers are not likely to cause an avalanche, but if you are heading into steep terrain, keep this in mind.
There is a possibility that a weather pattern may bring snow Sunday evening extending into Monday to the Summit area. This would be falling on weak surfaces. If we get a lot of snow in the mountains, the avalanche danger will increase as we expect avalanches to release naturally. Keep this in mind if you pursue fresh snow next week. Generally, it is advised to avoid traveling in or above avalanche terrain until after the snow has time to adjust to the load.
NWS Point Forecast: Point forecast for the Summit Lake area.
NWS Avalanche Weather Guidance (AVG) forecast page: Mountain weather forecasts for the region. Zoom in on the map to find point forecasts for Summit.
Windy.com Spot Forecast: Spot forecast for Summit (tip: compare models using the links at the bottom of the page).
Weather Stations
Date | Region | Location | Observer |
---|---|---|---|
10/18/24 | Summit | Observation: Manitoba | Anonymous |
05/05/24 | Summit | Avalanche: Manitoba and Surrounding Areas | Scott P |
04/25/24 | Summit | Observation: Road Survey – Seward Highway Tern Lake to Portage | Joel Curtis |
04/23/24 | Summit | Avalanche: Tenderfoot | Paul Wunnicke |
04/20/24 | Summit | Observation: Tenderfoot | Hannah Smith |
04/10/24 | Summit | Observation: Manitoba | Krueger / Delgado |
04/10/24 | Summit | Observation: Colorado | Anonymous |
04/07/24 | Summit | Observation: Fresno | Hannah Smith |
04/06/24 | Summit | Observation: Tenderfoot | Andy Moderow |
04/04/24 | Summit | Observation: Gilpatrick North | Schauer/ Moderow/ Carlile |
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