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        <title>CNFAIC Avalanche Advisory (Summit Area)</title>
        <description>Chugach National Forest Summit Lake Avalanche Advisory</description>
        <link>http://www.cnfaic.org/advisories/current_summit.php</link>
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       <dc:date>2010-09-08T09:42:09+01:00</dc:date>
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    <item rdf:about="http://www.cnfaic.org/advisories/current_summit.php?id=33">
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        <dc:date>2010-04-15T17:10:00+01:00</dc:date>
        <dc:source>http://www.cnfaic.org</dc:source>
        <dc:creator>Matt Murphy</dc:creator>
        <title>Thursday, April 15th 2010    Current Advisory (Summit Lake Area)</title>
        <link>http://www.cnfaic.org/advisories/current_summit.php?id=33</link>
        <description>Good Morning, this is Matt Murphy with the Chugach National Forest Avalanche Information Center on Thursday April 15, 2010 at 7am.  We are no longer issuing regular avalanche advisories for the rest of the 2009-2010 season, but that does not mean that the avalanche season is done.   &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
First of all, we want to thank you for staying safe in avalanche terrain and helping make this avalanche center an important resource for South Central Alaska and the Kenai Peninsula.  Your observations help steer this operation in the right direction.  Remember that your information could save a life; so, we want to give a HUGE THANK YOU to everybody that submitted observations this year. We'd also like to thank the Friends of the Chugach National Forest Avalanche Information Center and our major funding partners.  You are a great group of people with a passion of helping keep people safe in the backcountry, THANK YOU for all your support.  Additionally, we want to thank: &lt;br /&gt;
-Alyeska Ski Patrol&lt;br /&gt;
-Alaska DOT&lt;br /&gt;
-Alaska Railroad&lt;br /&gt;
-Alaska Avalanche School&lt;br /&gt;
-Alaska Pacific University&lt;br /&gt;
-Chugach Powder Guides&lt;br /&gt;
-and many others &lt;br /&gt;
for sharing important avalanche information for us to pass on to the backcountry community.  &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
There are still plenty of weak layers including: pockets of buried surface hoar, sun crusts, a deep rain crust that formed January 7, and facets buried deep in the snowpack.  We will see avalanches on these weak layers, especially: &lt;br /&gt;
-during the big spring thaw&lt;br /&gt;
-during storms&lt;br /&gt;
-within 24 hours of storms&lt;br /&gt;
-during times of direct sunlight&lt;br /&gt;
-rapidly warming temps&lt;br /&gt;
-during rain on snow events &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Every year, there is a time when the snowpack completely falls apart due to the spring thaw.  This could happen any time in the next couple weeks.  Many times, this extremely dangerous avalanche cycle starts after 2-3 days of sustained above freezing temps at the ridgetop weather stations during periods of direct sun or intense rain.  When that spring thaw happens, we all need to stay away from the mountains till this cycle is done.  We will see large destructive avalanches that could fail on deep weak layers during that time.       &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Thanks for checking avalanche advisories this season.  Stay tuned for periodic updates to the photo gallery and snow history.  Have a great spring and summer.&lt;br /&gt;
</description>
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        <dc:date>2010-04-10T16:23:00+01:00</dc:date>
        <dc:source>http://www.cnfaic.org</dc:source>
        <dc:creator>Alex McClain</dc:creator>
        <title>Saturday, April 10th 2010    Current Advisory (Summit Lake Area)</title>
        <link>http://www.cnfaic.org/advisories/current_summit.php?id=32</link>
        <description>Good morning backcountry travelers this is Alex McLain with the Chugach National Forest Avalanche Information Center on Saturday April 10th at 7 am. This will serve as a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Summit Lake as the core advisory area (this advisory does not apply to highways, railroads, or operating ski areas). &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
**This advisory is a new addition to the CNFAIC program, and will only be updated on Fridays and Saturdays for the time being, and all advisories expire 24 hours after being posted. Expired advisories can be accessed by looking through the advisory archive on the right. Backcountry travelers can analyze the weather trend between the expired advisory date and the current date to make pertinent avalanche terrain decisions.** &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;b&gt;AVALANCHE DISCUSSION&lt;/b&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;b&gt;Based on recent observations and data, natural avalanches are unlikely and human triggered avalanches are possible. Small avalanches in specific areas or large avalanches in isolated areas are expected today. There are heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate the snow and terrain carefully, and identify features of concern. Normal springtime caution is advised.&lt;/b&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Avalanche danger trend is increasing today with sun effect and new storm forecasted.&lt;br /&gt;
Jason and I got out yesturday and did not notice any new activity except for a few more point releases that occured later in the day on Thurseday.  We did find the new layer of surface hoar frost on sun crust.  This layer will become an important player with the new storm comming in later today and into next week.  The only other observation to note was the rapid rate of change in temperatures that occured yesturday.  We had an increase in temperatures at the Summit Creek weather station of 10 degrees an hour for 2 hours (20 degree increase from 7-9am) and we quickly went from lower teens to above freezing.  Temps yesturday got into the mid 40's at Summit Lake and Low 30's at 3000'.  Expect a similar increase in temps today and be mindful of sun affected slopes.    &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Keep in mind that whenever the sun comes out, it starts weakening the snow that faces it. Point release sun sluffs will be the most common avalanche due to this trigger, but human triggered slabs will be less common and more dangerous. We are in a springtime melt-freeze weather event down in the lower elevations, but not yet in the alpine starting zones. When the sun comes out today, the danger on affected slopes will increase to the point where human triggered avalanches will be probable, and naturally triggered avalanches will be possible.   &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The best way to avoid getting caught in an avalanche during this time is to be out of sun-affected avalanche terrain before the snow turns rotten and unsupportable. This usually starts happening on South Eastern aspects during the early afternoon, and continues along the Southern and Western aspects until the sun goes down for the evening. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;b&gt;WEATHER ROUNDUP&lt;/b&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Weekly Roundup&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Since our advisory last week, the temperatures at both weather stations have cooled off about 10 degrees. Fresno Ridge got above the freeze mark last Saturday 4/3, while the Summit Creek station is showing daily occurrences of melting and freezing. Once these stations start staying above 32 degrees F overnight, look out! When that happens, the snow will not have time to refreeze and gain strength overnight before it starts getting stressed again the next afternoon. We got one inch of new snow on Monday 4/5, which was blown into slabs up to 6 inches thick in deposition zones due to winds gusting up to 47 mph during that storm,  &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Hindcast (Last 24 hours)&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
3440’ – Fresno Wx Station- &lt;br /&gt;
Current temp is 14 degrees at 5 AM (1 degrees warmer than yesterday), and winds are variable 2-10 mph, with a gust peak gust out of the East at 15mph. It is not raining or snowing at this location currently.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
1400’ – Summit Lake Wx Station-&lt;br /&gt;
Current temp is 14 (1 degree warmer than yesterday), and is not showing any new snow fall. Current snowpack depth is 45 inches. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Nowcast&lt;/em&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Temperatures are currently fairly warm, but will feel even warmer if the sun comes out today. Radar and satellite shows a storm comming towards the Kenai Peninsula.  The Summit Lake area is currently under a strong inversion due to extremely stable air not allowing atmospheric mixing. This is probably allowing a new batch of surface hoar crystals to grow, so be aware and be on alert when the next storm comes in. There is a strong Low pressure system out by the Aleutian Islands that is supposed to impact us starting tomorrow, so keep this in mind for the weekend. Summit will not receive new snow or high winds today, so the danger will not increase due to these weather events. But whenever the sun does come out or the temperature increases above freezing, the avalanche hazard will increase.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Forecast&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Zone Forecast: Western Prince William Sound Mobile Weather Information&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Last Update: 500 AM AKDT SAT APR 10 2010&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Today...Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Light winds becoming south to east 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon...with gusts to 30 mph through portage valley and turnagain arm.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Tonight...A chance of snow in the evening...then snow after midnight. Snow accumulation 1 to 4 inches. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s. South to east wind 10 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph through portage valley and turnagain arm.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Sunday...Snow in the morning...then rain and snow in the afternoon. Snow accumulation 2 to 6 inches. Highs in the 30s. South to east wind 10 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph through portage valley and turnagain arm.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Sunday Night...Snow and rain. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s. South to east wind 10 to 25 mph.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Monday...Snow and rain likely in the morning...then a chance of rain and snow showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower to mid 40s. South to east wind 10 to 15 mph.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Monday Night...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Lows 25 to 35.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Tuesday...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Highs in the 40s.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Tuesday Night And Wednesday...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows 25 to 35. Highs in the 40s.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Wednesday Night...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Lows 25 to 35.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Thursday Through Friday...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 40s. Lows 25 to 35.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
TEMPERATURE / PRECIPITATION&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
SEWARD 39 32 39 / 0 100 100&lt;br /&gt;
GIRDWOOD 39 30 38 / 0 100 100&lt;br /&gt;
 &lt;br /&gt;
 &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Always remember that safe backcountry travel requires training and experience. You control your own risk by choosing where, when, and how you travel.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Thanks for checking today’s avalanche advisory.  Our final advisory for the season will be posted next Thursday, 4/15. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
</description>
    </item>
    <item rdf:about="http://www.cnfaic.org/advisories/current_summit.php?id=31">
        <dc:format>text/html</dc:format>
        <dc:date>2010-04-09T16:25:00+01:00</dc:date>
        <dc:source>http://www.cnfaic.org</dc:source>
        <dc:creator>Jon Gellings</dc:creator>
        <title>Friday, April 9th 2010    Current Advisory (Summit Lake Area)</title>
        <link>http://www.cnfaic.org/advisories/current_summit.php?id=31</link>
        <description>Good morning backcountry travelers this is Jon Gellings with the Chugach National Forest Avalanche Information Center on Friday April 9th at 7 am. This will serve as a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Summit Lake as the core advisory area (this advisory does not apply to highways, railroads, or operating ski areas). &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
**This advisory is a new addition to the CNFAIC program, and will only be updated on Fridays and Saturdays for the time being, and all advisories expire 24 hours after being posted. Expired advisories can be accessed by looking through the advisory archive on the right. Backcountry travelers can analyze the weather trend between the expired advisory date and the current date to make pertinent avalanche terrain decisions.** &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;b&gt;AVALANCHE DISCUSSION&lt;/b&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;b&gt;Based on recent observations and data, natural avalanches are unlikely and human triggered avalanches are possible. Small avalanches in specific areas or large avalanches in isolated areas are expected today. There are heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate the snow and terrain carefully, and identify features of concern. Normal springtime caution is advised.&lt;/b&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The South aspects have multiple layers of buried and surface sun crust, while the North aspects have several buried melt freeze crusts. Some of these crusts are more reactive than others, so take your time to identify the layer of most concern. A medium sized slab avalanche broke free on Moose Mtn. at the North end of the Summit Lake valley sometime between last week and yesterday (see photo gallery). This avalanche likely broke down to a crust about a foot deep, but was deeper at the upper-left flank, where the wind had deposited a deeper wind slab. Undisturbed slabs are still lingering in areas, but are possibly not going to fail until we get another storm with wind and precipitation. Continually assess the snowpack during your travels, and do not hesitate to turn around if you start seeing instabilities.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
We are in the springtime melt freeze cycle at the highway elevation, but are not having daily fluctuations above the freeze mark at the ridgelines yet. This type of cycle can act like a storm, even if it is not windy or raining/snowing. Luckily we aren’t seeing a current instability with this scenario, but remember that it can happen very quickly; the temperature at Summit Creek rose 20 degrees in 4 hours yesterday.    &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
 Keep in mind that whenever the sun comes out, it starts weakening the snow that faces it. Point release sun sluffs will be the most common avalanche due to this trigger, but human triggered slabs will be less common and more dangerous. We are in a springtime melt-freeze weather event down in the lower elevations, but not yet in the alpine starting zones. When the sun comes out today, the danger on affected slopes will increase to the point where human triggered avalanches will be probable, and naturally triggered avalanches will be possible.   &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The best way to avoid getting caught in an avalanche during this time is to be out of sun-affected avalanche terrain before the snow turns rotten and unsupportable. This usually starts happening on South Eastern aspects during the early afternoon, and continues along the Southern and Western aspects until the sun goes down for the evening. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;b&gt;WEATHER ROUNDUP&lt;/b&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Weekly Roundup&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Since our advisory last week, the temperatures at both weather stations have cooled off about 10 degrees. Fresno Ridge got above the freeze mark last Saturday 4/3, while the Summit Creek station is showing daily occurrences of melting and freezing. Once these stations start staying above 32 degrees F overnight, look out! When that happens, the snow will not have time to refreeze and gain strength overnight before it starts getting stressed again the next afternoon. We got one inch of new snow on Monday 4/5, which was blown into slabs up to 6 inches thick in deposition zones due to winds gusting up to 47 mph during that storm,  &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Hindcast (Last 24 hours)&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
3440’ – Fresno Wx Station- &lt;br /&gt;
Current temp is 27 (6 degrees warmer than yesterday), and winds are steady around 20 mph, with strong gusts into the 30s. It is not raining or snowing at this location currently.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
1400’ – Summit Lake Wx Station-&lt;br /&gt;
Current temp is 9 (13 degrees colder than yesterday), and is not showing any new snow fall. Current snowpack depth is 45 inches. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Nowcast&lt;/em&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Temperatures are currently fairly warm, but will feel even warmer if the sun comes out today. Radar and satellite images are clear for today, so remember to bring sunscreen if you are going outside for an extended amount of time. The Summit Lake area is currently under a strong inversion due to extremely stable air not allowing atmospheric mixing. This is probably allowing a new batch of surface hoar crystals to grow, so be aware and be on alert when the next storm comes in. There is a strong Low pressure system out by the Aleutian Islands that is supposed to impact us starting tomorrow, so keep this in mind for the weekend. Summit will not receive new snow or high winds today, so the danger will not increase due to these weather events. But whenever the sun does come out or the temperature increases above freezing, the avalanche hazard will increase.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Forecast&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-&lt;br /&gt;
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS&lt;br /&gt;
500 AM AKDT FRI APR 9 2010&lt;br /&gt;
.TODAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH TO WEST &lt;br /&gt;
WIND TO 15 MPH...EXCEPT NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH NEAR SEWARD AND WEST &lt;br /&gt;
25 TO 40 MPH NEAR WHITTIER. WINDS DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. &lt;br /&gt;
.TONIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 25. VARIABLE WIND 10 MPH. &lt;br /&gt;
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY&lt;br /&gt;
WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE &lt;br /&gt;
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH TO EAST WIND TO 15 MPH. &lt;br /&gt;
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.&lt;br /&gt;
SOUTH TO EAST WIND 15 TO 30 MPH. &lt;br /&gt;
.SUNDAY...RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH TO EAST &lt;br /&gt;
WIND 20 TO 35 MPH. &lt;br /&gt;
.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS 25 TO 35. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
 &lt;em&gt;Temperature / Precipitation&lt;/em&gt;    &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
SEWARD       41     23     41  /   0      0     20 &lt;br /&gt;
GIRDWOOD     38     22     39  /   0      0      0 &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Always remember that safe backcountry travel requires training and experience. You control your own risk by choosing where, when, and how you travel.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Thanks for checking today’s avalanche advisory. The next one will be posted tomorrow on Saturday April 10th. Our final advisory for the season will be posted next Thursday, 4/15. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
</description>
    </item>
    <item rdf:about="http://www.cnfaic.org/advisories/current_summit.php?id=30">
        <dc:format>text/html</dc:format>
        <dc:date>2010-04-03T16:25:00+01:00</dc:date>
        <dc:source>http://www.cnfaic.org</dc:source>
        <dc:creator>Alex McClain</dc:creator>
        <title>Saturday, April 3rd 2010    Current Advisory (Summit Lake Area)</title>
        <link>http://www.cnfaic.org/advisories/current_summit.php?id=30</link>
        <description>Good morning backcountry travelers this is Alex McLain with the Chugach National Forest Avalanche Information Center on Saturday April 3rd at 7 am. This will serve as a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Summit Lake as the core advisory area (this advisory does not apply to highways, railroads, or operating ski areas). &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
**This advisory is a new addition to the CNFAIC program, and will only be updated on Fridays and Saturdays for the time being, and all advisories expire 24 hours after being posted. Expired advisories can be accessed by looking through the advisory archive on the right. Backcountry travelers can analyze the weather trend between the expired advisory date and the current date to make pertinent avalanche terrain decisions.** &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;b&gt;AVALANCHE DISCUSSION&lt;/b&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;b&gt;Based on recent observations and data, natural avalanches are unlikely and human triggered avalanches are possible. Small avalanches in specific areas or large avalanches in isolated areas are expected today. There are heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate the snow and terrain carefully, and identify features of concern.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
**Avalanche danger will increase rapidly to natural avalanches possible and human triggered avalanches likely if tempreatures get above freezing and on Sun effected slopes.**&lt;/b&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Yesturday I got up to Summit Lake Area and saw numerous point releases and roller balls on sun effected slopes.  There was one slab avalanche on Creator (south of Summit Lake)it apeared to be a small surface slab that released near a rock band.  This thin slab (6-12&quot; thick) gathered snow on the way down and triggered a larger fracture approximately 2ft thick which created a larger slide that was large enough to burry a person.  I could not determine if this lower fracture was just a deeper pocket of windloading or if it did step down to the next layer. This was on a shaded West aspect.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
We have 3 areas of concern in the snowpack that could all be effected by warm temperatures:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
1. Thin wind slab on top of ice layer.  (One natural avalanche on this layer in the past few days)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
2. February ice crust layer which was reactive on Thurseday during stability test CT24Q3.  This layer is close enough to the surface and reactive enough to become a problem when the temperatures warm up.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
3. January Ice layer (3 to 4 feet down) slab on top of Ice layer with facets/buried surface hoar.  This layer would need a larger trigger such as a cornice break and could be triggered by an avalanche stepping down to this layer.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;b&gt;Checking the slope you are on, watch for rising temperatures, and good planning to stay off of sun effected slopes will be the name of the game today.&lt;b&gt;  &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;b&gt;WEATHER ROUNDUP&lt;/b&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Weekly Roundup&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
This last week, the temperatures have really started showing the difference from night to day. Fresno Ridge got above the freeze mark on Tuesday, 3/30, and will start doing so more often. The Summit Creek station is showing daily occurrences of melting and freezing. Once this station starts staying above 32 degrees F overnight, look out! When that happens, the snow will not have time to refreeze and gain strength overnight before it starts getting stressed again the next afternoon. We got one inch of new snow, which was blown into slabs up to 6 inches thick in deposition zones.  Winds gusted up to 55 mph three days ago, but did not accompany any new snow at the time. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Hindcast (Last 24 hours)&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
3440’ – Fresno Wx Station- &lt;br /&gt;
Current temp is 27 (Same as yesturday), and winds are currently light 2-4 mph, with gusts to 29mph. The weather radar is showing no precipitation over the area.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
1400’ – Summit Lake Wx Station-&lt;br /&gt;
Current temp is 29 (same temperature as yesterday), Snow depth is showing 44 inches.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Nowcast&lt;/em&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Temperatures are currently fairly warm, but will feel even warmer when the sun comes out today. Radar images show moderate amounts of precipitation out in Prince William Sound, but it doesn’t look like Summit Lake will receive much in the way of precipitation untill later tonight and into tomorrow.  Summit will not likely receive new snow or high winds today, so the danger will not increase due to these weather events. But whenever the sun does come out as it did yesturday or the temperature increases above freezing, the avalanche hazard will increase.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Forecast&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Zone Forecast: Western Prince William Sound Mobile Weather Information&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Last Update: 500 AM AKDT SAT APR 3 2010&lt;br /&gt;
 &lt;br /&gt;
 &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Today...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower to mid 40s. Light winds.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Tonight...Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s. Variable wind to 10 mph.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Sunday...Numerous snow and rain showers. Snow accumulation up to 3 inches above 1000 ft elevation. Highs in the mid 30s to mid 40s. East wind 20 to 30 mph.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Sunday Night...Numerous snow showers. Lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s. East wind 20 to 35 mph.&lt;br /&gt;
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Monday...Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Highs in the mid 30s to lower 40s. East wind 10 to 25 mph.&lt;br /&gt;
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Monday Night...Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Lows 25 to 35.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Tuesday And Tuesday Night...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Highs in the 30s. Lows in the 20s.&lt;br /&gt;
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Wednesday And Wednesday Night...Mostly clear. Highs in the 30s. Lows in the 20s.&lt;br /&gt;
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Thursday...Sunny. Highs in the 30s.&lt;br /&gt;
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Thursday Night And Friday...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain. Lows in the 20s. Highs in the 30s.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
TEMPERATURE / PRECIPITATION&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
SEWARD 45 33 44 / 0 50 60&lt;br /&gt;
GIRDWOOD 44 27 43 / 0 30 40&lt;br /&gt;
 &lt;br /&gt;
 &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Always remember that safe backcountry travel requires training and experience. You control your own risk by choosing where, when, and how you travel.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Thanks for checking today’s avalanche advisory. The next one will be posted tomorrow on Friday April 9th.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
</description>
    </item>
    <item rdf:about="http://www.cnfaic.org/advisories/current_summit.php?id=29">
        <dc:format>text/html</dc:format>
        <dc:date>2010-04-02T16:54:00+01:00</dc:date>
        <dc:source>http://www.cnfaic.org</dc:source>
        <dc:creator>Jon Gellings</dc:creator>
        <title>Friday, April 2nd 2010    Current Advisory (Summit Lake Area)</title>
        <link>http://www.cnfaic.org/advisories/current_summit.php?id=29</link>
        <description>Good morning backcountry travelers this is Jon Gellings with the Chugach National Forest Avalanche Information Center on Friday April 2nd at 7 am. This will serve as a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Summit Lake as the core advisory area (this advisory does not apply to highways, railroads, or operating ski areas). &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
**This advisory is a new addition to the CNFAIC program, and will only be updated on Fridays and Saturdays for the time being, and all advisories expire 24 hours after being posted. Expired advisories can be accessed by looking through the advisory archive on the right. Backcountry travelers can analyze the weather trend between the expired advisory date and the current date to make pertinent avalanche terrain decisions.** &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;b&gt;AVALANCHE DISCUSSION&lt;/b&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;b&gt;Based on recent observations and data, natural avalanches are unlikely and human triggered avalanches are possible. Small avalanches in specific areas or large avalanches in isolated areas are expected today. There are heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate the snow and terrain carefully, and identify features of concern.&lt;/b&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
We checked out the snow on the North and South aspects of Tenderfoot at treeline yesterday, and we found several instabilities in both pits. The South aspect had multiple layers of sun crust, with a combination of wet, unfrozen grains and rounds in between each crust. It was fairly sloppy, and will only take a little bit of sun to start breaking down the bonds between the snow grains. Results from stability tests conclude that dangerous failures are most likely going to break about 2 feet down (CTH 21, 23, 25 Q3 @ 55 cm down). The North aspect was lacking sun crusts, but did show consistent reactivity on several rain crusts down to the January 7th crust. A picture showing these failure layers is included below:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;/img/forecastor_obs/400-april-1-north-aspect.jpg&quot; width =&quot;500&quot; &gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The bottom break is on the January 7th crust (surface hoar &amp; facets on crust; high strength, hard shear, moderate energy), the middle one is from February 17-21st (breakable crust; high strength, low energy), and the top instability is probably from March 7th (persistent decomposing stellar crystals; low strength, low energy). Thin layers of rounding surface hoar, facets, and decomposing stellar crystals were the weak layers found above the crusts, creating all the ingredients necessary for slab avalanches: a bed surface with a weak layer above it, and a slab of snow overlying both layers. A failure in any of these top layers could step down to a lower layer and create an un-survivable situation. Just because the softer snow is on Northern aspects does not necessarily make them any safer than sun-cooked Southern aspects.  &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
 Keep in mind that whenever the sun comes out, it starts weakening the snow that faces it. Point release sun sluffs will be the most common avalanche due to this trigger, but human triggered slabs will be less common and more dangerous. We are in a springtime melt-freeze weather event down in the lower elevations, but not yet in the alpine starting zones. If the sun does come out today, the danger on affected slopes in terms of slab avalanches will increase to the point where human triggered avalanches will be probable, and naturally triggered avalanches will be possible.   &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;b&gt;WEATHER ROUNDUP&lt;/b&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Weekly Roundup&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Since our advisory last week, the temperatures have really started showing the difference from night to day. Fresno Ridge got above the freeze mark on Tuesday, 3/30, and will start doing so more often. The Summit Creek station is showing daily occurrences of melting and freezing. Once this station starts staying above 32 degrees F overnight, look out! When that happens, the snow will not have time to refreeze and gain strength overnight before it starts getting stressed again the next afternoon. We got one inch of new snow, which was blown into slabs up to 6 inches thick in deposition zones.  Winds gusted up to 55 mph two days ago, but did not accompany any new snow at the time. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Hindcast (Last 24 hours)&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
3440’ – Fresno Wx Station- &lt;br /&gt;
Current temp is 27 (6 degrees warmer than yesterday), and winds are steady around 20 mph, with strong gusts into the 30s. It is not raining or snowing at this location currently.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
1400’ – Summit Lake Wx Station-&lt;br /&gt;
Current temp is 29 (same temperature as yesterday), but is not showing that 1 inch of new snow fell yesterday morning. Current depth is 45 inches after this compensation.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Nowcast&lt;/em&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Temperatures are currently fairly warm, but will feel even warmer if the sun comes out today. Radar images show moderate amounts of precipitation out in Prince William Sound, but it doesn’t look like Summit Lake will receive much in the way of precipitation today. Satellite images show partial clearing in parts of Northern Prince William Sound, but are not showing promise of clear skies. Summit will not likely receive new snow or high winds today, so the danger will not increase due to these weather events. But whenever the sun does come out (maybe not today) or the temperature increases above freezing, the avalanche hazard will increase.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;em&gt;Forecast&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-&lt;br /&gt;
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS&lt;br /&gt;
500 AM AKDT FRI APR 2 2010&lt;br /&gt;
.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN&lt;br /&gt;
SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATION&lt;br /&gt;
UP TO 1 INCH. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. VARIABLE WIND TO 10 MPH.&lt;br /&gt;
NEAR SEWARD...NORTH WIND 15 MPH. &lt;br /&gt;
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID&lt;br /&gt;
20S TO LOWER 30S. VARIABLE WIND TO 10 MPH. NEAR SEWARD...NORTH WIND&lt;br /&gt;
10 TO 20 MPH. &lt;br /&gt;
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN&lt;br /&gt;
SCATTERED SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS&lt;br /&gt;
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS EXCEPT NORTH 10 MPH NEAR&lt;br /&gt;
SEWARD. &lt;br /&gt;
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.&lt;br /&gt;
VARIABLE WIND 10 MPH. &lt;br /&gt;
.SUNDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS AROUND 40. EAST WIND 10 TO 15&lt;br /&gt;
MPH. &lt;br /&gt;
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS&lt;br /&gt;
IN THE 20S. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
 &lt;em&gt;Temperature / Precipitation&lt;/em&gt;    &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
SEWARD       44     29     43  /  60     40     50 &lt;br /&gt;
GIRDWOOD     45     27     43  /  30     20     30 &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Always remember that safe backcountry travel requires training and experience. You control your own risk by choosing where, when, and how you travel.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Thanks for checking today’s avalanche advisory. The next one will be posted tomorrow on Saturday April 3rd.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
</description>
    </item>
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