CNFAIC LogoCNFAIC Logo

Avalanche Advisory

Turnagain Area Avalanche Advisory
Thursday, December 28th 2017 5:07 am by Heather Thamm
ARCHIVED ADVISORY - All advisories expire after 24 hours from the posting date/time.
Previous ForecastNext Forecast
BROUGHT TO YOU BY
The Bottom Line

There is a MODERATE avalanche danger today in the alpine, above 3,000’ where triggering a large and dangerous deep slab avalanche is possible due to weak snow near the ground. Additionally triggering a hard wind slab is still possible on leeward, steep, unsupported slopes in the alpine. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully.

The avalanche danger is LOW at Treeline. LOW danger does not mean NO danger. Pockets of unstable snow are not out of the question on isolated terrain features below 2500'. 

There is no hazard rating below 1,000’ due to a lack of snow. 

*Please remember your safe travel practices! This includes, exposing one person at a time in avalanche terrain, watching your partners, being rescue ready and having an escape route planned.


 Show the Complete North American Avalanche Danger Scale
2 Moderate Alpine / Above 2,500' Travel Advice: Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.
1 Low Treeline / 1,000'-2,500' Travel Advice: Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.
0 NO RATING Below Treeline / Below 1,000'
Special Announcement

If you are headed to Hatcher Pass be aware that avalanche activity has been observed every day since Christmas Eve. Check out the most recent observations HERE


Avalanche Problem 1

If this is your first day reading the advisory this winter it is important to know that deep slab avalanches have been a concern in the advisory now for two weeks. If you have been following along all season we are not trying sound like a broken record but the message is the same. This snow pack set-up continues to warrant elevated caution and respect. It is a high consequence avalanche problem that is impossible to outsmart. The ingredients for a deep slab avalanches have been found in the upper elevations of our forecast zone, above 3000’ on slopes that did not avalanche in the early December storm cycle. There is a hard slab, 3-5+ feet thick sitting on top of weak sugary snow (basal facets) near the ground. Observations over the last few weeks indicate this poor structure is widespread across our region in the alpine elevations.

 

When dealing with a deep slab avalanche problem, keep in mind:

  • Large snow covered slopes that do not have piles of old debris under them are all suspect 
  • Thinner areas of the snowpack (1-2’ thick) are likely trigger spots as well as scoured areas near rocks   
  • It is possible to trigger this avalanche from below and it could run further than expected 
  • Due to strong winds over the last month the snow depths are highly variable and there may be more trigger spots than we realize
  • Thicker areas (3-5+’ thick) will be difficult to trigger and several tracks may be on a slope before someone finds a trigger point

 

 

An avalanche on the NW face of Pastoral was triggered one week ago by a party of two skies traveling on the low angle terrain below. They were very lucky and were able to get out of the way of the debris. This avalanche also triggered a second avalanche on an adjacent slope over 1000 feet away. Deep slabs can linger for long periods of time and warrants extra caution in places that have not avalanched. 

 

 A view of the North facing terrain of Corn Biscuit taken yesterday from Magnum. Some old debris can be seen on looker right side, lower North Chutes, but much of the upper elevation terrain of Corn Biscuit and Super Bowl are still intact and didn't have evidence of much avalanche activity from mid December. 


Avalanche Problem 2

As we move further away from a wind event that ended on Dec.24th wind slabs are becoming more difficult to trigger. Cold temperatures are making the snow more brittle, and instead of seeing high energy shooting cracks we’re seeing wind boards crumble underfoot. Triggering an old wind slab is still possible in very steep terrain with more potential in the alpine zone. Places you might trigger an old wind slab will be in steep couloirs, large unsupported terrain features, or in thin rocky areas. Triggering a wind slab in the Treeline zone is becoming less likely, but isn't out of the question on isolated features. The tricky part about this problem is that it will be hard to evaluate a steep slope before committing to it. The other big risk is the possibility of initiating a much larger and more dangerous avalanche if you are above 3000’. Identify features that have fat, smooth, pillow-type shapes and be suspect of any slope that may harbor a more dangerous deep slab problem. 

 

Steep wind loaded gullies adjacent to thin rocky areas on a SE aspect on Seattle Ridge. This is one example of where triggering a wind slab is possible.  


Mountain Weather

Yesterday skies were clear and temperatures along ridgetops averaged in the teens with pockets of single digit (F) temps found at valley bottoms. Winds were light from the East. No precipitation was recorded. 

Today looks similar with mostly clear skies, light and variable winds, and temperatures averaging in the teens to low 20F’s. No precip is expected. 

A pattern change is in the forecast for this weekend beginning Sunday with a series of low pressure systems moving into our region. This storms should bring warmer temperatures, precipitation (snow and possible rain) and strong winds. At this point it is uncertain how these storms will track across the region, but stay tuned for more info as we move closer to the weekend. 

*This 1" recorded at Summit Lake is likely from ice crystals in the air and not from snow falling from the atmosphere. 

PRECIPITATION 24-hour data (6am - 6am)

  Temp Avg (F) Snow (in) Water (in) Snow Depth (in)
Center Ridge (1880') 20  30 
Summit Lake (1400') *1  *0.1  12 
Alyeska Mid (1700') 21  25 

 

RIDGETOP 24-hour data (6am - 6am)

  Temp Avg (F) Wind Dir Wind Avg (mph) Wind Gust (mph)
Sunburst (3812') 16  ENE  17 
Seattle Ridge(2400') 21  SE  17 

This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area (this advisory does not apply to highways, railroads, or operating ski areas).

Winter snowmachine use open/closed status and riding conditions updates

Riding status is not associated with avalanche danger. An area will be open to motorized use in accordance to the Forest Management Plan when snow coverage is adequate to protect underlying vegetation. Backcountry hazards including avalanche hazard are always present regardless of the open status of motorized use areas.

(Updated: May 06, 2018 )

AREA STATUS WEATHER AND RIDING CONDITIONS
Glacier District
Johnson Pass: ClosedClosed as of April 20th
Placer River: ClosedClosed as of April 17th
Skookum Drainage: ClosedClosed as of April 1st.
Turnagain Pass: ClosedClosed as of May 7th. Happy summer, see ya when the snow flies!
Twentymile: ClosedClosed as of April 13th
Seward District
Carter Lake: ClosedClosed as of 4/27
Lost Lake Trail: ClosedClosed as of April 13th
Primrose Trail: ClosedClosed as of April 13th
Resurrection Pass Trail: ClosedClosed as of April 20th
Snug Harbor: ClosedClosed as of 4/27
South Fork Snow River Corridor: ClosedClosed as of April 13th
Summit Lake: ClosedClosed as of April 20th

Subscribe to the Turnagain Area Avalanche Advisory:

The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur. This advisory provided by the Chugach National Forest, in partnership with Friends of the Chugach National Forest Avalanche Information Center.


USFS SNOW AND AVALANCHE HOTLINE (907) 754-2369
If you have comments or questions regarding CNFAIC operations or winter recreation management, please email staff@chugachavalanche.org
© 2018 Chugach National Forest Avalanche Information Center. All rights reserved.
FCNFAIC