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Avalanche Advisory

Turnagain Area Avalanche Advisory
Forecaster:   Aleph Johnston-Bloom  
Sunday, March 19th 2017
Created: Mar 19th 5:25 am
2 Moderate Alpine / Above 2,500' Travel Advice: Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.
2 Moderate Treeline / 1,000'-2,500' Travel Advice: Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.
2 Moderate Below Treeline / Below 1,000' Travel Advice: Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.
 Show the Complete North American Avalanche Danger Scale
Rossignol
The Bottom Line

The avalanche danger could rise to MODERATE today on all aspects and elevations. New snow is falling on very weak snow. Triggering storm slabs and loose snow avalanches will be possible in steep terrain. Watch for changing conditions. Avoid travel on or under cornices and give glide cracks a wide berth. 

Summit Lake, Johnson Pass, Lynx Creek and the Northern portion of Girdwood Valley: There is still a chance for triggering a deeper more dangerous avalanche in these areas. Read the Saturday Summit Summary HERE.


Primary Concern

After 25 days of no snow in the core advisory area the spell has finally been broken and light snow started falling last night. We received 1-2" overnight and 4-9" is forecasted to fall today. This combined with ENE winds gusting up into the 30s may create storm slab conditions on steep slopes as it accumulates on very weak surface snow.  The likelihood of triggering a loose snow avalanche (sluff) will also increase with the new snow. An observer in the upper Skookum Valley (which received 5-9" on Wednesday in a sneaky storm) reported natural sluffs as this current system moved in. This zone with more new snow warrants extra caution as slabs/sluffs will be larger. Today's storm will again favor this area. 

Today it will be important to pay attention to how the new snow is bonding to old snow surfaces. The snow is landing on near surface facets, surface hoar, sun crusts, and wind crusts. Watch for changing conditions, cracking, collapsing and blowing snow. 

Keep in mind these additional concerns if venturing out into the mountains today and remember to practice safe travel techniques. 

Wind Slabs:  Small fresh wind slabs are also possible near ridgetops on leeward terrain. Old stiff wind slabs, such as the one triggered on Seattle ridge last weekend, will be stubborn to trigger. Smooth pillowed snow on steep unsupported features or in rocky areas will be the most suspect places to initiate an old wind slab.

Glide AvalanchesGlide cracks continue to slowly open above popular terrain on Seattle Ridge and in other zones across the advisory area. These may release at any time. Minimize exposure time spent under visible cracks.

Cornices: Cornices should always be given an extra wide berth if traveling along a corniced ridge.  Like glide cracks, minimize your exposure time spent under these backcountry bombs. 

Persistent Slabs and Deep Slabs: There are various weak layers in our thin snowpack. Buried surface hoar sits 1-3+' below the surface and faceted snow sits in the mid and base of the pack. Due to the lack of changing weather over the past three weeks, these weak layers (with varying degrees of strength) are in a ‘dormant stage’.  Although unlikely, an avalanche breaking deeper in the pack isn't completely out of the question in areas such as Johnson Pass, Lynx Creek and on the Northern side of Girdwood Valley (near Crow Pass). Observers continue to find poor structure. The buried weak layers will require monitoring as the load on top increases incrementally or if we get a significant warm-up. 

An example of surface conditions in the Girdwood Valley. Near surface facets on sun crust. 

 


Mountain Weather

Yesterday started out clear and sunny. Clouds rolled in throughout the day becoming mostly cloudy by the evening. Temperatures rose into the teens at ridgetops and low 20Fs in the valleys. Light snow stared falling in the evening. 1-2" fell overnight. ENE winds increased gusting into the 30s. 

Today will be mostly cloudy with temperatures in the 20Fs. ENE winds will continue blowing 10-20 mph with gusting again into the 30s. 4-9" of snow is forecasted to fall throughout the day with a chance of snow overnight. Tomorrow will be partly sunny with warmer temperatures. There is another chance of snow showers on Tuesday. 

PRECIPITATION 24-hour data (6am - 6am)

  Temp Avg (F) Snow (in) Water (in) Snow Depth (in)
Center Ridge (1880') 15   .1  1  60
Summit Lake (1400')  15  .05  2  57
Alyeska Mid (1700')  13 .1   1  29

 

RIDGETOP 24-hour data (6am - 6am)

  Temp Avg (F) Wind Dir Wind Avg (mph) Wind Gust (mph)
Sunburst (3812')  12  ENE 10   32
Seattle Ridge(2400')  13  ENE  5 16 

This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area (this advisory does not apply to highways, railroads, or operating ski areas).

Winter snowmachine use open/closed status and riding conditions updates

Riding status is not associated with avalanche danger. An area will be open to motorized use in accordance to the Forest Management Plan when snow coverage is adequate to protect underlying vegetation. Backcountry hazards including avalanche hazard are always present regardless of the open status of motorized use areas.

(Updated: Mar 28, 2017 )

AREA STATUS WEATHER AND RIDING CONDITIONS
Glacier District
Johnson Pass: OpenPlease park on road in and leave the turnaround (near outhouse) open for trailers to turn around.
Placer River: OpenPlacer remains open but SKOOKUM DRAINAGE will close to motorized use on April 1st.
Skookum Drainage: OpenSKOOKUM DRAINAGE CLOSES TO MOTORIZED USE ON APRIL 1 annually as per the Chugach National Forest Plan document.
Turnagain Pass: Open
Twentymile: Open
Seward District
Carter Lake: Open
Lost Lake Trail: OpenPlease STAY ON existing and hardened trail surface through the lower sections of this route.
Primrose Trail: OpenPlease STAY ON existing and hardened trail surface through the lower sections of this route.
Resurrection Pass Trail: ClosedClosed for 2016/17 winter season. This is a non-motorized season. This alternates every other year and will open again during the 2017/18 winter.
Snug Harbor: Open
South Fork Snow River Corridor: Open
Summit Lake: Open

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The information in this advisory is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur. This advisory provided by the Chugach National Forest, in partnership with Friends of the Chugach National Forest Avalanche Information Center.


USFS SNOW AND AVALANCHE HOTLINE (907) 754-2369
If you have comments or questions regarding CNFAIC operations or winter recreation management, please email staff@chugachavalanche.org
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