Wednesday, December 24th 2014 5:54 am by CNFAIC Staff
ARCHIVED ADVISORY - All advisories expire after 24 hours from the posting date/time.
Today the danger rating above treeline is MODERATE. The likelihood of triggering a 1-3’ slab avalanche is possible above 2500’ and could have high consequences. These slabs are most likely to be triggered on steep slopes where the snowpack is thinner. Ridgetop winds are expected to increase with a possible accumulation of 3-5". Small, isolated wind slabs up to 8" in depth on leeward slopes are also a concern for today. Identify steep terrain, evaluate the snowpack carefully and watch for people above and below you.
The danger rating for treeline is at LOW today and human triggered avalanches below 2500’ are unlikely. It is possible for an avalanche triggered from above to run into this elevation band, therefore be aware of skiers on slopes above you and travel one at a time under steep terrain.
There is No Rating below 1000’ due to insufficient snow coverage.
|Show the Complete North American Avalanche Danger Scale|
|Travel Advice: Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.|
|Travel Advice: Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.|
Christmas Eve is here
Mountains are ready to go
Santa bring us snow
The primary concern today is a one-week old slab (1 – 3’ deep) sitting on a layer of buried surface hoar. Buried surface hoar has been found over the past week throughout Turnagain Pass and Summit Lake above 2000’ on all aspects. This particular combination of weak layer plus slab is known to linger for long periods of time and explains why we are still getting some moderate to hard results in our test pits when we isolate the weak layer. No new signs of obvious instability have been reported since the Sunburst avalanche that buried one skier on December 18th. This leads us to believe that the weak layer is adjusting to its new load and the overall stability of the snowpack is gradually improving.
The weather forecast today is calling for 3-5" of new snow throughout the day with moderate winds. This new load will contribute to our primary concern by placing additional stress on the weak layer.
It’s important to realize a MODERATE rating refers mainly to the likelihood of initiating an avalanche and does not take consequences into consideration. If you were to find just the right trigger point to initiate an avalanche it could propagate across the entire slope, making escape difficult at best. Because of this we are on the higher risk side of the moderate scale.
Persistent slabs are most likely to be triggered on steep slopes in thinner areas of the snowpack. We are advising backcountry users to be smart about terrain choices and to think about the consequences before deciding to ski a steep slope. Take the time to evaluate the terrain and avoid steep slopes with convex rollovers or shallow areas around rocks.
Ridgetop winds are expected to be moderate with gusts into the mid twenties today. We have an existing 5 inches of low density snow available for transport and are expected to recieve another 3-5" throughout the day. This is just enough wind and snow to form isolated wind slabs up to 8" deep on leeward aspects. Terrain features such as ridges, gullies and convex rollovers will be the most likely places to encounter these newly formed pockets of slab. These slabs are expected to be small and isolated, but if caught off guard could be enough to knock you off your feet. Pay attention to the consequences below and look for obvious signs like shooting cracks, hollow sounds, or smooth pillowy looking features.
Yesterday skies were clear; winds were calm, and temperatures were in the 20’s F.
Overnight winds remained calm, temperatures dipped into the teens, and no precipitation was recorded.
Today temperatures are expected to remain in the high 20’s F at 1,000' and 3-5” of snow is forecasted for today. Ridgetop winds are expected to increase to 15-25 mph out of the East.
Another 3-6” of snow is expected tonight and could continue through Christmas day. Temperatures are expected to stay in the 20’s F with highs in the low 30’s F near sea level. Winds are expected to remain moderate throughout the evening.
PRECIPITATION 24-hour data (6am - 6am)
|Temp Avg (F)||Snow (in)||Water (in)||Snow Depth (in)|
|Center Ridge (1880')||24||0||0||29|
|Summit Lake (1400')||15||0||0||4|
|Alyeska Mid (1700')||25||0||0||21|
RIDGETOP 24-hour data (6am - 6am)
|Temp Avg (F)||Wind Dir||Wind Avg (mph)||Wind Gust (mph)|
This is a general backcountry avalanche advisory issued for Turnagain Arm with Turnagain Pass as the core advisory area (this advisory does not apply to highways, railroads, or operating ski areas).
Riding status is not associated with avalanche danger. An area will be open to motorized use in accordance to the Forest Management Plan when snow coverage is adequate to protect underlying vegetation. Backcountry hazards including avalanche hazard are always present regardless of the open status of motorized use areas.
(Updated: Dec 18, 2018 )
|AREA||STATUS||WEATHER AND RIDING CONDITIONS|
|Johnson Pass:||Open||Please stay on trail to avoid resource damage through Forested areas.|
|Turnagain Pass:||Closed||Closed November 21 due to inadequate snow conditions. #hopeforsnow|
|Lost Lake Trail:||Open||Please stay on trail to avoid resource damage through Forested areas.|
|Primrose Trail:||Open||Please stay on trail to avoid resource damage through Forested areas.|
|Resurrection Pass Trail:||Closed||Closed for the 2018/19 season. Next season will be open to motorized use.|
|South Fork Snow River Corridor:||Closed||Closed. Forest Service is monitoring conditions.|
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